Region = VA    NW AAA           
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Laurie Pratt          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.7947540    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Covenant School        VA    LIS     ( 9- 9, 74.8)    17-10   
 319 A Salem, VA              VA    NW AA   (13- 7, 75.8)    11- 9   
 322 H Patrick Henry, Roanoke VA    NW AAA  (15- 2, 83.1)    21-13   
 329 A Douglas Freeman        VA    WV      ( 5-10, 72.9)    17- 9   
 411 H St. Catherine's, VA    VA    LIS     (11- 5, 87.6)    14-15   
 413 H Battlefield            VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 85.9)    17-16   
 416 H Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (12- 6, 82.8)    13-14  o
 419 H Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   (10- 8, 75.7)    16- 9   
 423 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 4-10, 68.9)    21-10   
 425 A Fluvanna               VA    NW AA   ( 0-13, 57.4)    16- 5   
 430 H Fluvanna               VA    NW AA   ( 0-13, 57.4)    20- 4   
 504 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (12- 6, 82.8)    13-12   
 508 A Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   (10- 8, 75.7)    17-14   
 511 A Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 4-10, 68.9)    17- 9   
 514 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 4-10, 68.9)    15- 8   
 517 H Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (12- 6, 82.8)    15-14  o
 524 H Rockbridge County      VA    NW AA   ( 7- 8, 69.8)    21- 3   
 525 H Salem, VA              VA    NW AA   (13- 7, 75.8)    15-11   
 528 H Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (12- 6, 82.8)     8-13   
 531 A Battlefield            VA    NW AAA  (16- 4, 85.9)    11-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Covenant School        17-10       7     7          -0.78
   319 A Salem, VA              11- 9       2     6    --    -4.83
   322 H Patrick Henry, Roanoke 21-13       8     1    +++    6.31
   329 A Douglas Freeman        17- 9       8     9          -1.74
   411 H St. Catherine's, VA    14-15      -1    -2           1.85
   413 H Battlefield            17-16       1    -1    +      2.13
   416 H Western Albemarle      13-14  o   -1     1    -     -2.95
   419 H Monticello, VA         16- 9       7     9    -     -2.09
   423 H Charlottesville        21-10      11    15           0.00
   425 A Fluvanna               16- 5      11    25           0.00
   430 H Fluvanna               20- 4      16    27           0.00
   504 A Western Albemarle      13-12       1     0           1.24
   508 A Monticello, VA         17-14       3     6    -     -3.91
   511 A Charlottesville        17- 9       8    13    -     -2.00
   514 H Charlottesville        15- 8       7    15    -     -3.00
   517 H Western Albemarle      15-14  o    1     1          -0.95
   524 H Rockbridge County      21- 3      18    14           0.00
   525 H Salem, VA              15-11       4     9    --    -5.02
   528 H Western Albemarle       8-13      -5     1    ---   -6.95
   531 A Battlefield            11-14      -3    -3           0.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   528 H Western Albemarle       8-13      -5     1    ---   -6.95
   319 A Salem, VA              11- 9       2     6    --    -4.83
   525 H Salem, VA              15-11       4     9    --    -5.02
   416 H Western Albemarle      13-14  o   -1     1    -     -2.95
   419 H Monticello, VA         16- 9       7     9    -     -2.09
   508 A Monticello, VA         17-14       3     6    -     -3.91
   511 A Charlottesville        17- 9       8    13    -     -2.00
   514 H Charlottesville        15- 8       7    15    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Patrick Henry, Roanoke 21-13       8     1    +++    6.31
   413 H Battlefield            17-16       1    -1    +      2.13
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.69 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.17 Local SOS Rank.............    47
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/