Region = VA    Natl             
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Crystal Morgan        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.3675690    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H West Potomac           VA    Pat     ( 6- 6, 78.9)    14- 8   
 317 A McLean, VA             VA    Lbrty   ( 6- 6, 78.2)    13-14   
 321 H Edison, VA             VA    Natl    ( 3- 9, 64.8)    14- 8   
 323 A Langley                VA    Lbrty   (13- 5, 89.4)     5-17   
 325 H Chantilly              VA    Cncrd   (19- 3, 93.3)     1-15   
 329 H George C. Marshall     VA    Lbrty   (10- 5, 85.5)     8-15   
 331 A Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    (10- 5, 78.2)    14- 7   
 404 A Westfield, VA          VA    Cncrd   ( 9- 5, 88.3)     6-18   
 408 H J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Natl    ( 1-11, 57.0)    18- 2   
 412 H Falls Church           VA    Natl    ( 5- 9, 69.3)    26-14   
 414 A Wakefield HS, VA       VA    Natl    ( 0-13, 52.1)    15- 1   
 426 A Mt. Vernon             VA    Natl    ( 3- 7, 63.1)    17- 2   
 428 H Hayfield               VA    Natl    ( 8- 7, 76.7)    13-11   
 502 H Thomas Jefferson S&T   VA    Lbrty   ( 2-10, 71.6)    16- 5   
 506 H Wakefield HS, VA       VA    Natl    ( 0-13, 52.1)    16- 0   
 509 H Falls Church           VA    Natl    ( 5- 9, 69.3)    21-11   
 513 H Hayfield               VA    Natl    ( 8- 7, 76.7)    16- 8   
 517 H Robinson Secondary     VA    Cncrd   ( 8- 7, 87.2)     7-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H West Potomac           14- 8       6     1    ++     4.13
   317 A McLean, VA             13-14      -1     0          -1.92
   321 H Edison, VA             14- 8       6    15    --    -4.00
   323 A Langley                 5-17     -12   -10           0.00
   325 H Chantilly               1-15     -14   -12           0.00
   329 H George C. Marshall      8-15      -7    -4    -     -2.26
   331 A Washington-Lee         14- 7       7     0    +++    6.09
   404 A Westfield, VA           6-18     -12    -9          -0.78
   408 H J.E.B. Stuart          18- 2      16    23           0.00
   412 H Falls Church           26-14      12    11           0.00
   414 A Wakefield HS, VA       15- 1      14    26           0.00
   426 A Mt. Vernon             17- 2      15    15           0.00
   428 H Hayfield               13-11       2     4    -     -2.08
   502 H Thomas Jefferson S&T   16- 5      11     9           0.86
   506 H Wakefield HS, VA       16- 0      16    28           0.00
   509 H Falls Church           21-11      10    11           0.00
   513 H Hayfield               16- 8       8     4    +      3.92
   517 H Robinson Secondary      7-17     -10    -6    -     -3.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Edison, VA             14- 8       6    15    --    -4.00
   329 H George C. Marshall      8-15      -7    -4    -     -2.26
   428 H Hayfield               13-11       2     4    -     -2.08
   517 H Robinson Secondary      7-17     -10    -6    -     -3.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Washington-Lee         14- 7       7     0    +++    6.09
   315 H West Potomac           14- 8       6     1    ++     4.13
   513 H Hayfield               16- 8       8     4    +      3.92
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.92 Local Power Rank...........    33
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.48 Local SOS Rank.............    54
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    42
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   111
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/