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Region = CT Class L Nickname = T Bears Coach = Al MorgenthalerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.8341141 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 406 H Wilton CT Class M (18- 3, 99.9) 2-14 409 A Staples CT Class L (17- 3, 95.6) 3-20 415 A Weston, CT CT Class S (17- 6, 86.3) 4-10 418 H Fairfield Ludlowe CT Class L (12- 7, 91.5) 3-20 420 A Westhill, CT CT Class L ( 0-11, 68.0) 14- 2 421 A Trumbull CT Class L ( 4-12, 75.7) 11- 5 426 A Fairfield Warde CT Class M ( 8- 9, 84.6) 7-18 429 H Stamford CT Class L ( 7- 9, 81.8) 9- 8 430 H Joel Barlow CT Class M (13- 7, 87.7) 16-11 502 A St. Joseph, CT CT Class S ( 2-14, 74.8) 14- 8 505 H Fairfield Warde CT Class M ( 8- 9, 84.6) 11- 9 507 A Brien McMahon CT Class L ( 6-10, 80.4) 7-12 509 H Darien CT Class M (15- 8, 98.1) 1-19 511 H New Canaan CT Class M (13- 8, 96.2) 4-16 516 H Danbury CT Class L (11- 8, 87.3) 9-16 517 H Ridgefield CT Class L (11- 7, 91.0) 6-17 531 A Conard CT Class L ( 9- 9, 83.8) 5-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Wilton 2-14 -12 -20 0.00 409 A Staples 3-20 -17 -16 0.00 415 A Weston, CT 4-10 -6 -7 1.54 418 H Fairfield Ludlowe 3-20 -17 -11 0.00 420 A Westhill, CT 14- 2 12 10 0.00 421 A Trumbull 11- 5 6 3 + 2.91 426 A Fairfield Warde 7-18 -11 -5 -- -4.13 429 H Stamford 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.09 430 H Joel Barlow 16-11 5 -7 +++ 12.96 502 A St. Joseph, CT 14- 8 6 3 + 2.00 505 H Fairfield Warde 11- 9 2 -4 +++ 6.89 507 A Brien McMahon 7-12 -5 -1 - -3.33 509 H Darien 1-19 -18 -18 0.00 511 H New Canaan 4-16 -12 -16 0.00 516 H Danbury 9-16 -7 -7 0.53 517 H Ridgefield 6-17 -11 -11 0.00 531 A Conard 5-12 -7 -5 -1.99UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 A Fairfield Warde 7-18 -11 -5 -- -4.13 507 A Brien McMahon 7-12 -5 -1 - -3.33OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 H Joel Barlow 16-11 5 -7 +++ 12.96 505 H Fairfield Warde 11- 9 2 -4 +++ 6.89 421 A Trumbull 11- 5 6 3 + 2.91 429 H Stamford 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.09 502 A St. Joseph, CT 14- 8 6 3 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.24 Local Power Rank........... 41 Local SOS Rating......... 70.43 Local SOS Rank............. 9 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 40 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 50 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 38 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -5.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -14.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -15.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -10.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -8.3