Region = CT    Class L          
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Al Morgenthaler       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.8341141    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 H Wilton                 CT    Class M (18- 3, 99.9)     2-14   
 409 A Staples                CT    Class L (17- 3, 95.6)     3-20   
 415 A Weston, CT             CT    Class S (17- 6, 86.3)     4-10   
 418 H Fairfield Ludlowe      CT    Class L (12- 7, 91.5)     3-20   
 420 A Westhill, CT           CT    Class L ( 0-11, 68.0)    14- 2   
 421 A Trumbull               CT    Class L ( 4-12, 75.7)    11- 5   
 426 A Fairfield Warde        CT    Class M ( 8- 9, 84.6)     7-18   
 429 H Stamford               CT    Class L ( 7- 9, 81.8)     9- 8   
 430 H Joel Barlow            CT    Class M (13- 7, 87.7)    16-11   
 502 A St. Joseph, CT         CT    Class S ( 2-14, 74.8)    14- 8   
 505 H Fairfield Warde        CT    Class M ( 8- 9, 84.6)    11- 9   
 507 A Brien McMahon          CT    Class L ( 6-10, 80.4)     7-12   
 509 H Darien                 CT    Class M (15- 8, 98.1)     1-19   
 511 H New Canaan             CT    Class M (13- 8, 96.2)     4-16   
 516 H Danbury                CT    Class L (11- 8, 87.3)     9-16   
 517 H Ridgefield             CT    Class L (11- 7, 91.0)     6-17   
 531 A Conard                 CT    Class L ( 9- 9, 83.8)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Wilton                  2-14     -12   -20           0.00
   409 A Staples                 3-20     -17   -16           0.00
   415 A Weston, CT              4-10      -6    -7           1.54
   418 H Fairfield Ludlowe       3-20     -17   -11           0.00
   420 A Westhill, CT           14- 2      12    10           0.00
   421 A Trumbull               11- 5       6     3    +      2.91
   426 A Fairfield Warde         7-18     -11    -5    --    -4.13
   429 H Stamford                9- 8       1    -2    +      3.09
   430 H Joel Barlow            16-11       5    -7    +++   12.96
   502 A St. Joseph, CT         14- 8       6     3    +      2.00
   505 H Fairfield Warde        11- 9       2    -4    +++    6.89
   507 A Brien McMahon           7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.33
   509 H Darien                  1-19     -18   -18           0.00
   511 H New Canaan              4-16     -12   -16           0.00
   516 H Danbury                 9-16      -7    -7           0.53
   517 H Ridgefield              6-17     -11   -11           0.00
   531 A Conard                  5-12      -7    -5          -1.99

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Fairfield Warde         7-18     -11    -5    --    -4.13
   507 A Brien McMahon           7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Joel Barlow            16-11       5    -7    +++   12.96
   505 H Fairfield Warde        11- 9       2    -4    +++    6.89
   421 A Trumbull               11- 5       6     3    +      2.91
   429 H Stamford                9- 8       1    -2    +      3.09
   502 A St. Joseph, CT         14- 8       6     3    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.24 Local Power Rank...........    41
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.43 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    40
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    50
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    38
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/