Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Lancers              Coach  =   Chris Ayers           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.6326141    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   (16- 1, 98.2)     5-20   
 324 H South Carroll          MD    2A-1A   ( 7- 8, 85.2)    13-10   
 329 A North Carroll          MD    4A-3A   ( 5- 9, 79.5)    15-11   
 402 H St. James School       DC    Indep   (11- 2, 78.1)    16-12   
 407 H Century, MD            MD    3A-2A   (15- 3, 97.2)     6-21   
 418 H Walkersville           MD    3A-2A   ( 6- 8, 73.8)    18-19   
 420 A North Hagerstown       MD    3A-2A   ( 2-10, 64.9)    18- 7   
 423 N Howard                 MD    3A-2A   (10- 7, 85.1)    13-19   
 423 N Reservoir              MD    3A-2A   ( 6-10, 76.0)    19-12   
 426 A Urbana                 MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 7, 76.8)    22- 9   
 428 H Frederick              MD    3A-2A   ( 7- 8, 72.1)    17-12   
 503 H Tuscarora, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 3-10, 68.5)    14- 6   
 505 A Gov. Thomas Johnson    MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 9, 73.8)    18-13   
 510 A Liberty, MD            MD    2A-1A   (10- 6, 91.2)     5-22   
 514 H Watkins Mill           MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 6, 67.3)    22- 5   
 516 H Richard Montgomery, MD MD    4A-3A   ( 9- 5, 74.4)    20-11   
 518 N Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   (16- 1, 98.2)     7-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Westminster, MD         5-20     -15   -16           0.00
   324 H South Carroll          13-10       3    -2    ++     5.16
   329 A North Carroll          15-11       4     2           1.54
   402 H St. James School       16-12       4     5          n/a  
   407 H Century, MD             6-21     -15   -14           0.00
   418 H Walkersville           18-19      -1     9    ---  -10.24
   420 A North Hagerstown       18- 7      11    17           0.00
   423 N Howard                 13-19      -6    -2    -     -3.38
   423 N Reservoir              19-12       7     6           0.48
   426 A Urbana                 22- 9      13     5    ++     4.85
   428 H Frederick              17-12       5    10    --    -5.00
   503 H Tuscarora, MD          14- 6       8    14    -     -2.00
   505 A Gov. Thomas Johnson    18-13       5     8    -     -3.15
   510 A Liberty, MD             5-22     -17    -9          -0.78
   514 H Watkins Mill           22- 5      17    15           0.00
   516 H Richard Montgomery, MD 20-11       9     8           0.37
   518 N Westminster, MD         7-17     -10   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Walkersville           18-19      -1     9    ---  -10.24
   428 H Frederick              17-12       5    10    --    -5.00
   423 N Howard                 13-19      -6    -2    -     -3.38
   503 H Tuscarora, MD          14- 6       8    14    -     -2.00
   505 A Gov. Thomas Johnson    18-13       5     8    -     -3.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H South Carroll          13-10       3    -2    ++     5.16
   426 A Urbana                 22- 9      13     5    ++     4.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.50 Local Power Rank...........    33
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.14 Local SOS Rank.............    42
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    63
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    34
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/