Region = MA    West D1          
   Nickname = A Hurricanes           Coach  =   Carol Samuels         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.5401688    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Northampton            MA    West D1 (14- 6, 81.9)     5-23   
 406 A Agawam                 MA    West D1 (16- 5, 84.7)     2-15   
 407 H Monson                 MA    West D1 ( 3-10, 64.2)    12- 6   
 412 H Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (17- 1, 91.8)     2-17   
 414 A Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (19- 4, 91.6)     3-16   
 421 A Tantasqua              MA    Cen D1  (12- 6, 75.9)     8-12   
 426 A Belchertown            MA    West D1 ( 2-17, 64.1)    16- 8   
 429 H South Hadley           MA    West D1 (11- 6, 80.8)     9-18   
 503 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 7-11, 73.0)    11-12   
 505 A Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 1-11, 63.5)    15- 7   
 506 H Brattleboro Union      VT    DI      ( 7-10, 83.2)    11- 7   
 510 H West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 1-14, 64.3)    13- 6   
 512 A East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 8-10, 75.9)    15-12   
 513 H Belchertown            MA    West D1 ( 2-17, 64.1)    13-12   
 517 A South Hadley           MA    West D1 (11- 6, 80.8)     6-13   
 519 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 7-11, 73.0)    13- 8   
 524 H Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 1-11, 63.5)    16-10   
 526 A West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 1-14, 64.3)    12-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Northampton             5-23     -18    -7    -     -2.04
   406 A Agawam                  2-15     -13   -12           0.00
   407 H Monson                 12- 6       6     9    -     -3.69
   412 H Minnechaug              2-17     -15   -17           0.00
   414 A Longmeadow              3-16     -13   -19           0.00
   421 A Tantasqua               8-12      -4    -3          -0.12
   426 A Belchertown            16- 8       8     7           0.04
   429 H South Hadley            9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.18
   503 A Westfield HS, MA       11-12      -1     0          -0.05
   505 A Cathedral, MA          15- 7       8     8          -0.55
   506 H Brattleboro Union      11- 7       4    -9          n/a  
   510 H West Springfield, MA   13- 6       7     9    -     -2.61
   512 A East Longmeadow        15-12       3    -3    +++    6.86
   513 H Belchertown            13-12       1     9    ---   -8.87
   517 A South Hadley            6-13      -7    -8           1.73
   519 H Westfield HS, MA       13- 8       5     0    ++     4.04
   524 H Cathedral, MA          16-10       6    10    --    -4.00
   526 A West Springfield, MA   12-12       0     7    ---   -7.70

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Belchertown            13-12       1     9    ---   -8.87
   526 A West Springfield, MA   12-12       0     7    ---   -7.70
   524 H Cathedral, MA          16-10       6    10    --    -4.00
   331 H Northampton             5-23     -18    -7    -     -2.04
   407 H Monson                 12- 6       6     9    -     -3.69
   429 H South Hadley            9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.18
   510 H West Springfield, MA   13- 6       7     9    -     -2.61

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Brattleboro Union      11- 7       4    -9    +++        
   512 A East Longmeadow        15-12       3    -3    +++    6.86
   519 H Westfield HS, MA       13- 8       5     0    ++     4.04
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.98 Local Power Rank...........    83
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.37 Local SOS Rank.............    77
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    91
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    67
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/