Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Trojans              Coach  =   Richard Schmitt       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.2910004    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   (10- 7, 91.0)     9- 3   
 413 A Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 97.9)    14-13   
 415 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 81.5)    11- 1   
 417 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 84.7)     3-16   
 420 N Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   (10- 8, 76.1)     9- 8   
 422 H Nichols School         NY    Private (10- 6, 96.3)     7- 6   
 426 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 76.9)    19- 5   
 428 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   (10- 7, 91.0)    13- 8   
 430 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-12, 81.5)     8- 5   
 501 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 85.9)    13- 9   
 504 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 76.9)    15- 1   
 506 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 85.9)    14- 3   
 508 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 9, 88.1)     8- 5   
 510 H Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 97.9)    15-12   
 512 A Aquinas Institute, NY  NY C  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 73.3)    10- 7   
 515 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-11, 80.9)    16- 4   
 520 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 85.9)    18-11   
 526 H Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (12- 5, 97.9)    11- 4   
 602 N Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (14- 2, 97.9)    13- 9   
 605 N Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (19- 2, 99.9)     4-23   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Iroquois                9- 3       6     9    -     -3.11
   413 A Lake Shore             14-13       1     0           0.65
   415 A Williamsville South    11- 1      10    16           0.00
   417 A Irondequoit             3-16     -13    13          n/a  
   420 N Geneva                  9- 8       1    23          n/a  
   422 H Nichols School          7- 6       1     3    -     -2.79
   426 A Grand Island           19- 5      14    21           0.00
   428 A Iroquois               13- 8       5     7    -     -2.26
   430 H Williamsville South     8- 5       3    18    ---   -7.00
   501 H Williamsville East     13- 9       4    14    ---   -6.00
   504 H Grand Island           15- 1      14    23           0.00
   506 A Williamsville East     14- 3      11    12           0.00
   508 A West Seneca West        8- 5       3    10    ---   -7.00
   510 H Lake Shore             15-12       3     2           0.79
   512 A Aquinas Institute, NY  10- 7       3    24          n/a  
   515 H Niagara-Wheatfield     16- 4      12    19           0.00
   520 H Williamsville East     18-11       7    14    -     -3.00
   526 H Lake Shore             11- 4       7     2    ++     4.79
   602 N Williamsville North    13- 9       4     1    +      2.77
   605 N Canandaigua Academy     4-23     -19     0          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Irondequoit             3-16     -13    13    ---        
   420 N Geneva                  9- 8       1    23    ---        
   430 H Williamsville South     8- 5       3    18    ---   -7.00
   501 H Williamsville East     13- 9       4    14    ---   -6.00
   508 A West Seneca West        8- 5       3    10    ---   -7.00
   512 A Aquinas Institute, NY  10- 7       3    24    ---        
   605 N Canandaigua Academy     4-23     -19     0    ---        
   330 H Iroquois                9- 3       6     9    -     -3.11
   422 H Nichols School          7- 6       1     3    -     -2.79
   428 A Iroquois               13- 8       5     7    -     -2.26
   520 H Williamsville East     18-11       7    14    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   526 H Lake Shore             11- 4       7     2    ++     4.79
   602 N Williamsville North    13- 9       4     1    +      2.77
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.14 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.53 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.245.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/