Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Pete Friedman         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.4522552    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Bellport               NY B  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 79.9)    18-10   
 325 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 87.8)    19-14   
 408 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (17- 2, 99.9)     5-13   
 414 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 82.8)    16-14   
 416 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 94.1)     4-18   
 420 A Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 85.5)    15-12   
 423 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 4, 87.0)    15- 3   
 426 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 79.0)    13-12   
 428 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.7)     3-10   
 430 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-12, 74.1)    20- 5   
 504 A Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 69.6)    18-11   
 506 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 92.1)     7-13   
 512 H Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 67.7)    20- 8   
 513 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 67.8)    12- 8   
 518 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 83.0)    12- 7   
 524 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 94.1)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Bellport               18-10       8     8          -0.04
   325 H Commack                19-14       5     0    ++     4.92
   408 A Northport               5-13      -8   -13    +      2.00
   414 H North Babylon          16-14       2     5    -     -3.13
   416 H West Babylon            4-18     -14    -6    -     -3.79
   420 A Half Hollow Hills      15-12       3     1           1.76
   423 H Middle Country         15- 3      12     0    +++    9.04
   426 H Connetquot             13-12       1     8    ---   -7.96
   428 A Bay Shore               3-10      -7    -6          -0.04
   430 H Patchogue-Medford      20- 5      15    13           0.00
   504 A Walt Whitman, NY       18-11       7    17    -     -3.00
   506 A West Islip              7-13      -6    -5          -0.62
   512 H Brentwood, NY          20- 8      12    20           0.00
   513 A Longwood               12- 8       4    18    ---   -6.00
   518 A Smithtown East         12- 7       5     3           1.27
   524 A West Babylon            6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Connetquot             13-12       1     8    ---   -7.96
   513 A Longwood               12- 8       4    18    ---   -6.00
   414 H North Babylon          16-14       2     5    -     -3.13
   416 H West Babylon            4-18     -14    -6    -     -3.79
   504 A Walt Whitman, NY       18-11       7    17    -     -3.00
   524 A West Babylon            6-17     -11    -7    -     -2.63

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Middle Country         15- 3      12     0    +++    9.04
   325 H Commack                19-14       5     0    ++     4.92
   408 A Northport               5-13      -8   -13    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.34 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.59 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating. 45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/