Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Erin Blaney           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.6218872    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  (16- 3, 93.6)     7- 9   
 406 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 94.1)     3-15   
 408 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.7)     8-12   
 410 H Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (14- 6, 97.6)     6-11   
 414 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 67.7)    21- 4   
 416 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-12, 74.1)    13- 3   
 420 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 83.0)    14-13  o
 426 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 85.8)     7- 8   
 428 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 84.2)     6-10   
 430 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 87.8)    10-11   
 503 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-12, 77.6)    17- 9   
 504 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 77.1)    18- 6   
 506 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 81.4)    18- 7   
 512 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 82.8)    21-15   
 514 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (17- 2, 99.9)     9- 8   
 518 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 92.1)    14-16   
 524 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (17- 2, 99.9)    13-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Hauppauge               7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.86
   406 A West Babylon            3-15     -12    -7    -     -2.49
   408 H Bay Shore               8-12      -4    -5           1.95
   410 H Yorktown, NY            6-11      -5    -9          n/a  
   414 A Brentwood, NY          21- 4      17    18           0.00
   416 A Patchogue-Medford      13- 3      10    12           0.00
   420 H Smithtown East         14-13  o    1     4    -     -3.74
   426 A Lindenhurst             7- 8      -1     0          -1.83
   428 H Sachem North            6-10      -4     3    ---   -7.56
   430 A Commack                10-11      -1    -1           0.23
   503 A East Islip             17- 9       8     9          -1.05
   504 H Sachem East            18- 6      12    10           0.00
   506 A Smithtown West         18- 7      11     5    ++     4.80
   512 H North Babylon          21-15       6     4           1.01
   514 H Northport               9- 8       1   -12    +++   11.00
   518 H West Islip             14-16      -2    -4    +      2.37
   524 A Northport              13-19      -6   -13    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Sachem North            6-10      -4     3    ---   -7.56
   406 A West Babylon            3-15     -12    -7    -     -2.49
   420 H Smithtown East         14-13  o    1     4    -     -3.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Northport               9- 8       1   -12    +++   11.00
   410 H Yorktown, NY            6-11      -5    -9    ++         
   506 A Smithtown West         18- 7      11     5    ++     4.80
   524 A Northport              13-19      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   331 H Hauppauge               7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.86
   518 H West Islip             14-16      -2    -4    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.19 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.27 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/