Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Kevin Krause          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.6606903    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Eastport-South Manor   NY B  Sec 11  (14- 3, 91.5)    10-11 2o
 331 H Mt. Sinai              NY C  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 85.2)     8-12   
 408 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 69.6)    18- 4   
 412 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-12, 74.1)    19-12   
 414 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 67.8)    17- 9   
 416 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 77.1)    16-11   
 420 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 85.8)     8- 9   
 426 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 81.4)    14- 7   
 428 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 87.2)    10- 6   
 430 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-12, 77.6)    12-11   
 501 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 94.1)     4-13   
 504 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 67.7)    18-10   
 506 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.7)     8-11   
 512 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (10- 6, 87.8)     6- 9   
 514 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 92.1)    10-13   
 518 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (17- 2, 99.9)     4-11   
 524 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 92.1)     6-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Eastport-South Manor   10-11 2o   -1    -6    ++     5.76
   331 H Mt. Sinai               8-12      -4     0    -     -3.61
   408 H Walt Whitman, NY       18- 4      14    15           0.00
   412 A Patchogue-Medford      19-12       7     9    -     -2.57
   414 A Longwood               17- 9       8    15    -     -2.00
   416 H Sachem East            16-11       5     7    -     -2.68
   420 H Lindenhurst             8- 9      -1     0          -0.01
   426 H Smithtown West         14- 7       7     3    +      3.62
   428 A Ward Melville          10- 6       4    -3    +++    7.56
   430 H East Islip             12-11       1     7    ---   -6.23
   501 A West Babylon            4-13      -9   -10           1.00
   504 A Brentwood, NY          18-10       8    15    -     -2.00
   506 A Bay Shore               8-11      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   512 A Commack                 6- 9      -3    -4           1.20
   514 H West Islip             10-13      -3    -7    ++     4.35
   518 H Northport               4-11      -7   -15    +      3.00
   524 A West Islip              6-16     -10    -8          -1.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H East Islip             12-11       1     7    ---   -6.23
   331 H Mt. Sinai               8-12      -4     0    -     -3.61
   412 A Patchogue-Medford      19-12       7     9    -     -2.57
   414 A Longwood               17- 9       8    15    -     -2.00
   416 H Sachem East            16-11       5     7    -     -2.68
   504 A Brentwood, NY          18-10       8    15    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Ward Melville          10- 6       4    -3    +++    7.56
   506 A Bay Shore               8-11      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   324 H Eastport-South Manor   10-11 2o   -1    -6    ++     5.76
   514 H West Islip             10-13      -3    -7    ++     4.35
   426 H Smithtown West         14- 7       7     3    +      3.62
   518 H Northport               4-11      -7   -15    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.21 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.92 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.7
/