Region = DC    ISL AA           
   Nickname = A                      Coach  =   Nancy Smalley         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.6142120    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 H St. John's College, DC DC    WCAC    ( 0-11, 64.4)    15- 3   
 316 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 8-10, 78.7)     4-11   
 318 A Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL A   ( 6-11, 81.8)     5-16   
 401 N Avon Grove             PA    Chsmnt  (10- 8, 83.6)     7-13   
 406 H Foxcroft School        VA    DAC     ( 9- 2, 85.5)     7-12   
 408 A Georgetown Day School  DC    ISL AA  ( 4- 7, 69.1)    16- 8   
 410 H Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 3-10, 70.8)    15- 9   
 413 H St. Andrew's, MD       DC    ISL AA  ( 1- 8, 68.6)    12- 9   
 415 H Sidwell Friends        DC    ISL A   ( 6- 9, 77.1)    10-12   
 420 H St. James School       DC    Indep   ( 9- 7, 77.3)     9-10  o
 423 A Episcopal, VA          DC    ISL AA  (21- 2, 91.3)     1-13   
 426 H Holy Child, MD         DC    ISL AA  (11-11, 82.7)     6-16   
 429 H Maret School           DC    ISL AA  ( 2- 8, 67.8)    13- 6   
 508 H Maret School           DC    ISL AA  ( 2- 8, 67.8)    16- 6   
 509 N Episcopal, VA          DC    ISL AA  (21- 2, 91.3)     2-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H St. John's College, DC 15- 3      12    10           0.00
   316 H Bishop O'Connell        4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.18
   318 A Holton-Arms School      5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.73
   401 N Avon Grove              7-13      -6    -8          n/a  
   406 H Foxcroft School         7-12      -5   -10          n/a  
   408 A Georgetown Day School  16- 8       8     5    +      2.64
   410 H Potomac Falls          15- 9       6     4          n/a  
   413 H St. Andrew's, MD       12- 9       3     6    -     -3.26
   415 H Sidwell Friends        10-12      -2    -2           0.24
   420 H St. James School        9-10  o   -1    -2           1.46
   423 A Episcopal, VA           1-13     -12   -16           0.00
   426 H Holy Child, MD          6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.16
   429 H Maret School           13- 6       7     7          -0.02
   508 H Maret School           16- 6      10     7    +      2.98
   509 N Episcopal, VA           2-17     -15   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Bishop O'Connell        4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.18
   318 A Holton-Arms School      5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.73
   413 H St. Andrew's, MD       12- 9       3     6    -     -3.26
   426 H Holy Child, MD          6-16     -10    -7    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Foxcroft School         7-12      -5   -10    ++         
   401 N Avon Grove              7-13      -6    -8    +          
   408 A Georgetown Day School  16- 8       8     5    +      2.64
   508 H Maret School           16- 6      10     7    +      2.98
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.66 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.52 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/