Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Rapids               Coach  =   Ryne Johnson          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.8761749    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Patrick Henry, Richmon VA    Indep   ( 0-11, 65.3)    19-11   
 319 A Rockbridge County      VA    NW AA   ( 6- 9, 75.9)    10- 9   
 322 A Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   (14- 6, 87.4)     3-16   
 324 N Bishop Sullivan        VA    TCIS    (13- 3, 93.0)     5-23   
 325 A Godwin                 VA    Indep   ( 6- 5, 76.0)    10- 8   
 329 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   ( 3- 9, 75.8)     5-11   
 401 A E.C. Glass             VA    NW AAA  ( 8- 4, 78.5)     7-13   
 415 H Douglas Freeman Rebels VA    Indep   (13- 2, 86.2)     6-13   
 419 H Deep Run               VA    Indep   ( 8- 3, 78.5)    10- 9   
 421 A Hanover, VA            VA    Indep   ( 3- 9, 69.3)    12- 9   
 426 H Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (17- 2, 98.1)     5-18   
 429 A Deep Run               VA    Indep   ( 8- 3, 78.5)     7- 7   
 507 N Salem, VA              VA    NW AA   (11- 5, 79.7)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Patrick Henry, Richmon 19-11       8     8          -0.81
   319 A Rockbridge County      10- 9       1    -1    +      2.78
   322 A Monticello, VA          3-16     -13   -13           0.00
   324 N Bishop Sullivan         5-23     -18   -17           0.00
   325 A Godwin                 10- 8       2    -1    +      3.92
   329 H Charlottesville         5-11      -6     0    ---   -6.20
   401 A E.C. Glass              7-13      -6    -4          -1.56
   415 H Douglas Freeman Rebels  6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   419 H Deep Run               10- 9       1    -2    +      3.54
   421 A Hanover, VA            12- 9       3     4          -1.78
   426 H Western Albemarle       5-18     -13   -22           0.00
   429 A Deep Run                7- 7       0    -4    ++     4.40
   507 N Salem, VA               9-10      -1    -4    +      3.67

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Charlottesville         5-11      -6     0    ---   -6.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Deep Run                7- 7       0    -4    ++     4.40
   319 A Rockbridge County      10- 9       1    -1    +      2.78
   325 A Godwin                 10- 8       2    -1    +      3.92
   415 H Douglas Freeman Rebels  6-13      -7   -10    +      3.00
   419 H Deep Run               10- 9       1    -2    +      3.54
   507 N Salem, VA               9-10      -1    -4    +      3.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.04 Local Power Rank...........    56
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.82 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    53
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    61
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -14.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/