Region = MD    IAAM A           
   Nickname = D Patriots             Coach  =   K. Porchella          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.8208389    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 H Bel Air                MD    3A-2A   ( 8- 9, 81.2)    16- 7   
 317 H Good Counsel           DC    WCAC    (18- 3, 99.9)     9-13   
 329 A St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  ( 9- 9, 87.2)    16-12   
 331 A St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  (13- 6, 88.6)    10- 7   
 407 H Mount de Sales         MD    IAAM A  ( 6-12, 81.4)    16- 7   
 409 A Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  ( 7- 9, 85.6)    14-10   
 412 A Seton Keough           MD    IAAM A  ( 3-16, 72.8)    14- 7   
 414 H Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  ( 2-15, 76.7)    16- 7   
 416 A McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (20- 0, 99.9)     6- 8   
 419 H North Harford          MD    3A-2A   (11- 7, 86.9)    17- 7   
 421 H Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  (13- 5, 91.1)    13-12   
 422 H Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  (18- 4, 93.5)    10-12  o
 423 A Mercy, MD              MD    IAAM A  ( 2-15, 74.0)    13- 9   
 426 H Severn School          MD    IAAM A  (10- 8, 87.0)    11-10   
 428 H Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (14- 7, 89.1)    18-15   
 429 A Patterson Mill         MD    2A-1A   (12- 7, 86.9)    15-11   
 430 H Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  ( 6- 9, 83.2)    13-11   
 503 H Fallston               MD    3A-2A   (11- 5, 89.6)    13- 9   
 504 N C. M. Wright           MD    4A-3A   (15- 5, 91.0)     9- 7   
 507 H Mercy, MD              MD    IAAM A  ( 2-15, 74.0)    17- 5   
 510 H Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (14- 7, 89.1)    12-11   
 513 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  (18- 4, 93.5)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Bel Air                16- 7       9    11          n/a  
   317 H Good Counsel            9-13      -4    -7          n/a  
   329 A St. Paul's SG, MD      16-12       4     3           0.31
   331 A St. Mary's, MD         10- 7       3     2           0.74
   407 H Mount de Sales         16- 7       9    11          -1.00
   409 A Maryvale Prep          14-10       4     5          -1.27
   412 A Seton Keough           14- 7       7    18    -     -3.00
   414 H Archbishop Spalding    16- 7       9    16          -1.00
   416 A McDonogh School         6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.03
   419 H North Harford          17- 7      10     6          n/a  
   421 H Bryn Mawr SG           13-12       1     1          -0.89
   422 H Notre Dame Prep, MD    10-12  o   -2     0          -1.56
   423 A Mercy, MD              13- 9       4    16    ---   -6.00
   426 H Severn School          11-10       1     5    --    -5.00
   428 H Roland Park Country    18-15       3     3          -0.92
   429 A Patterson Mill         15-11       4     4          n/a  
   430 H Garrison Forest        13-11       2     9    ---   -7.79
   503 H Fallston               13- 9       4     3          n/a  
   504 N C. M. Wright            9- 7       2     0          n/a  
   507 H Mercy, MD              17- 5      12    19           0.00
   510 H Roland Park Country    12-11       1     3    -     -2.92
   513 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     6- 8      -2    -2           0.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Mercy, MD              13- 9       4    16    ---   -6.00
   430 H Garrison Forest        13-11       2     9    ---   -7.79
   426 H Severn School          11-10       1     5    --    -5.00
   412 A Seton Keough           14- 7       7    18    -     -3.00
   510 H Roland Park Country    12-11       1     3    -     -2.92

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A McDonogh School         6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.03
   317 H Good Counsel            9-13      -4    -7    +          
   419 H North Harford          17- 7      10     6    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.94 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.45 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.235.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  8- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/