Conf =  A                         Region = NY B  Sec 1            
   Nickname = Y Bears                Coach  =   Gerry Walsh           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.2781906    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A John Jay-Cross River   NY B  Sec 1   (16- 2, 99.5)     9-18   
 408 H Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (14- 6, 97.6)     9-16   
 410 A Fox Lane               NY B  Sec 1   (19- 3, 98.9)    10-19   
 416 A Putnam Valley          NY C  Sec 1   ( 6- 9, 81.5)     7- 5   
 419 A Lakeland-Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (19- 3, 99.9)     5-16   
 421 H Wappingers             NY A  Sec 1   ( 3-12, 77.9)    18- 4   
 424 H Hauppauge              NY B  Sec 11  (16- 3, 93.6)    10-11   
 428 A Mahopac                NY A  Sec 1   ( 8-10, 87.4)     9- 8   
 430 H Arlington, NY          NY A  Sec 1   ( 2-12, 75.8)    14- 6   
 503 H Lakeland-Panas         NY A  Sec 1   (19- 3, 99.9)    10-17   
 505 A Wappingers             NY A  Sec 1   ( 3-12, 77.9)    13- 7   
 507 A Horace Greeley         NY B  Sec 1   ( 1-14, 76.7)    12-11   
 507 A Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (14- 6, 97.6)     3-16   
 510 A Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (14- 6, 97.6)     3-16   
 512 H Mahopac                NY A  Sec 1   ( 8-10, 87.4)     7- 9   
 517 A Arlington, NY          NY A  Sec 1   ( 2-12, 75.8)    17- 3   
 522 A Fox Lane               NY B  Sec 1   (19- 3, 98.9)     4-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A John Jay-Cross River    9-18      -9   -14           1.00
   408 H Yorktown, NY            9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
   410 A Fox Lane               10-19      -9   -13           1.00
   416 A Putnam Valley           7- 5       2     3          -1.64
   419 A Lakeland-Panas          5-16     -11   -14           0.00
   421 H Wappingers             18- 4      14     8           1.03
   424 H Hauppauge              10-11      -1    -6          n/a  
   428 A Mahopac                 9- 8       1    -2    +      3.25
   430 H Arlington, NY          14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   503 H Lakeland-Panas         10-17      -7   -13    +      3.00
   505 A Wappingers             13- 7       6     7          -1.25
   507 A Horace Greeley         12-11       1     8    ---   -7.41
   507 A Yorktown, NY            3-16     -13   -12           0.00
   510 A Yorktown, NY            3-16     -13   -12           0.00
   512 H Mahopac                 7- 9      -2     0          -1.48
   517 A Arlington, NY          17- 3      14     9           0.62
   522 A Fox Lane                4-17     -13   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Horace Greeley         12-11       1     8    ---   -7.41
   430 H Arlington, NY          14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Hauppauge              10-11      -1    -6    ++         
   408 H Yorktown, NY            9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
   428 A Mahopac                 9- 8       1    -2    +      3.25
   503 H Lakeland-Panas         10-17      -7   -13    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.02 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.76 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/