girls probabilites for 31
 
 

2009 girls Maryland-Public

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Century, MD 15 1 1 1 2 1 7 1 9 19.00 2 Liberty, MD 13 2 6 31 6 4 2 6 12 2.00 3 Severna Park 16 3 3 17 1 5 5 3 13 29.00 4 Westminster, MD 16 2 2 12 4 3 9 4 16 29.00 5 Fallston 17 2 4 2 3 2 17 2 21 3.00 6 Hereford 12 3 12 23 11 8 1 12 21 0.10 7 Mt. Hebron 16 4 5 3 7 6 11 9 26 7.00 8 Annapolis 14 3 11 24 9 18 3 8 29 0.10 9 Churchill 14 1 27 88 15 9 14 11 34 0.10 10 North Carroll 10 5 14 7 21 12 4 22 38 0.10 11 South River 15 3 7 19 8 10 21 7 38 3.00 12 Thomas Stone 12 0 17 103 12 7 25 10 42 0.10 13 C. M. Wright 8 5 19 15 26 16 10 26 52 1.00 14 Patterson Mill 12 6 25 34 25 15 18 25 58 0.10 15 Marriotts Ridge 11 2 10 54 16 20 20 21 61 1.00 16 Broadneck 14 2 8 20 5 11 47 5 63 6.00 17 South Carroll 7 7 28 6 39 21 8 45 74 0.10 18 Stephen Decatur 15 1 9 55 10 17 46 14 77 0.10 19 Winters Mill 13 5 13 22 13 13 51 15 79 0.10 20 Quince Orchard 10 4 36 78 44 30 16 35 81 0.10 21 Glenelg HS 12 5 20 29 18 19 38 29 86 0.10 22 Blake, MD 12 2 31 112 23 27 41 19 87 0.10 23 Wootton 6 5 46 65 71 23 19 52 94 0.10 24 Kent Island 11 3 15 57 24 29 45 24 98 0.10 25 River Hill 9 5 26 45 32 39 15 44 98 0.10 26 Dulaney 10 6 21 30 20 26 57 20 103 0.10 27 Urbana 7 7 30 13 29 35 36 32 103 0.10 28 Towson HS 11 4 18 8 19 14 73 18 105 0.10 29 Perryville 11 2 44 98 17 25 66 17 108 0.10 30 Loch Raven 11 5 24 72 42 38 33 40 111 0.10 31 Sherwood, MD 8 5 43 83 61 32 29 57 118 0.10 32 Chesapeake, AA C 7 8 40 18 63 43 6 70 119 0.10 33 North Harford 7 6 22 25 43 33 49 38 120 0.10 34 Leonardtown 13 1 16 92 14 31 77 13 121 0.10 35 Arundel 7 6 32 9 41 34 42 46 122 0.10 36 Parkside 11 4 29 71 35 46 40 39 125 0.10 37 Reservoir 9 5 33 36 38 24 52 49 125 0.10 38 Walter Johnson 11 4 37 80 40 22 88 23 133 0.10 39 Bel Air 5 9 41 16 58 42 35 61 138 0.10 40 Bethesda-Chevy C 7 6 49 79 84 36 39 63 138 0.10 41 Gaithersburg 7 5 56 85 54 48 44 48 140 0.10 42 Havre De Grace 11 3 59 116 33 45 64 33 142 0.10 43 Centennial, MD 9 7 34 32 46 37 48 58 143 0.10 44 La Plata 8 4 48 77 51 28 85 34 147 0.10 45 North Point 6 4 51 81 55 40 72 43 155 0.10 46 Queen Anne's Cou 12 5 23 48 48 41 68 51 160 0.10 47 Francis Scott Ke 5 9 72 44 79 65 13 83 161 0.10 48 Linganore 5 9 68 39 75 57 32 77 166 0.10 49 Aberdeen 4 8 79 43 91 50 24 93 167 0.10 50 Catonsville 4 9 52 4 85 44 34 90 168 0.10 51 Bohemia Manor 7 3 61 115 45 47 95 42 184 0.10 52 Pikesville 6 7 50 64 89 61 37 87 185 0.10 53 Poolesville 10 2 45 121 22 55 117 16 188 0.10 54 Southern, Anne A 5 8 55 38 81 73 27 88 188 0.10 55 Carver A-T, Balt 10 2 67 133 27 52 112 27 191 0.10 56 Old Mill 5 11 58 21 107 67 12 115 194 0.10 57 Walkersville 8 6 54 91 59 68 58 69 195 0.10 58 Lansdowne 8 2 65 132 31 58 110 31 199 0.10 59 Kent County 5 5 38 53 60 63 75 65 203 0.10 60 Kenwood 8 2 81 134 30 60 116 30 206 0.10 61 Damascus 7 3 42 97 37 51 119 37 207 0.10 62 Patuxent 11 5 47 89 53 59 92 56 207 0.10 63 Smithsburg 8 5 71 84 36 53 118 36 207 0.10 64 Atholton 5 7 53 46 77 56 65 89 210 0.10 65 Rising Sun 3 9 85 60 109 75 26 109 210 0.10 66 Middletown, MD 10 4 39 93 34 49 121 41 211 0.10 67 Howard 5 9 66 49 102 76 23 113 212 0.10 68 Thomas Johnson 5 7 76 69 82 69 59 84 212 0.10 69 Harford Tech 5 7 84 95 92 81 43 91 215 0.10 70 R. Montgomery 7 6 74 107 80 66 80 74 220 0.10 71 Perry Hall 7 8 35 52 88 54 76 92 222 0.10 72 North County 4 8 70 14 76 64 83 82 229 0.10 73 Hammond 4 8 78 51 95 78 53 102 233 0.10 74 Western STES 5 4 89 122 49 71 113 50 234 0.10 75 Whitman, MD 3 7 92 68 90 70 84 80 234 0.10 76 Franklin, MD 3 10 64 26 113 83 31 122 236 0.10 77 Northeast 3 12 73 28 111 85 30 121 236 0.10 78 Glen Burnie 3 11 82 33 117 91 22 124 237 0.10 79 Cambridge-S Dorc 1 7 107 10 97 79 60 100 239 0.10 80 J.M. Bennett 3 10 77 40 118 92 28 120 240 0.10 81 Eastern Technica 5 5 62 67 65 74 96 71 241 0.10 82 Brunswick, MD 4 6 80 86 78 88 82 78 248 0.10 83 Woodlawn 0 3 133 96 57 62 127 59 248 0.10 84 Springbrook 0 8 125 63 123 84 55 110 249 0.10 85 Westlake, MD 4 7 83 75 100 72 102 79 253 0.10 86 Blair, MD 6 6 75 114 83 77 98 81 256 0.10 87 Huntingtown 7 6 60 82 73 82 111 72 265 0.10 88 North Caroline 1 6 95 42 96 97 71 97 265 0.10 89 Parkville 1 7 90 37 99 95 74 99 268 0.10 90 Lackey 1 8 96 74 114 103 67 103 273 0.10 91 Patapsco 2 4 112 120 67 87 122 66 275 0.10 92 Chesapeake, Balt 2 4 124 105 64 86 129 64 279 0.10 93 Northern, Calver 0 8 93 41 120 111 50 118 279 0.10 94 Tuscarora 2 10 106 47 103 99 69 111 279 0.10 95 Overlea 0 4 132 119 74 115 90 76 281 0.10 96 Catoctin 5 11 94 59 110 90 89 104 283 0.10 97 Great Mills 6 5 57 99 72 93 115 75 283 0.10 98 Paint Branch 6 4 87 123 56 100 128 55 283 0.10 99 Chopticon 1 7 105 61 104 110 70 105 285 0.10 100 Easton, MD 2 8 63 5 94 80 108 98 286 0.10 101 Einstein 2 4 104 111 66 98 126 62 286 0.10 102 Long Reach 2 10 102 50 124 105 54 127 286 0.10 103 Milford Mill 1 4 126 127 69 113 100 73 286 0.10 104 Magruder 0 8 120 66 119 94 86 108 288 0.10 105 North East, Ceci 5 6 69 117 86 89 114 85 288 0.10 106 Seneca Valley, M 0 8 116 70 122 102 78 112 292 0.10 107 Owings Mills 3 8 98 73 108 96 91 107 294 0.10 108 Polytechnic, Bal 6 5 86 130 68 109 120 67 296 0.10 109 Wilde Lake 2 11 99 56 131 108 56 133 297 0.10 110 Wheaton, MD 3 4 110 124 62 116 125 60 301 0.10 111 Western, Baltimo 1 3 108 109 52 127 124 54 305 0.10 112 Calvert 0 8 122 62 116 126 63 117 306 0.10 113 City College 3 3 91 129 50 123 134 53 310 0.10 114 Edgewood 3 7 103 100 101 107 107 96 310 0.10 115 Rockville 1 4 109 102 70 112 131 68 311 0.10 116 Northwest, MD 1 8 100 90 115 118 79 116 313 0.10 117 Digital Harbor 0 2 128 128 47 134 133 47 314 0.10 118 Patterson 0 5 131 126 87 131 97 86 314 0.10 119 Kennedy, MD 1 7 123 94 106 114 101 101 316 0.10 120 Sparrows Point 1 6 88 58 93 117 105 94 316 0.10 121 Meade 0 12 97 35 132 125 61 132 318 0.10 122 Elkton 1 11 119 101 134 124 62 134 320 0.10 123 Dundalk 2 7 117 118 98 104 123 95 322 0.10 124 Wicomico (Wi-Hi) 0 10 114 11 129 101 93 129 323 0.10 125 McDonough 1 9 101 76 126 119 94 114 327 0.10 126 Frederick 2 10 115 87 125 122 87 123 332 0.10 127 Oakland Mills 0 9 121 27 112 106 103 125 334 0.10 128 Joppatowne 1 11 118 113 135 128 81 135 344 0.10 129 Watkins Mill 2 10 113 104 133 121 99 131 351 0.10 130 Randallstown 0 8 134 125 121 130 104 119 353 0.10 131 North Hagerstown 3 10 111 108 127 120 109 128 357 0.10 132 Clarksburg 1 7 127 110 105 129 130 106 365 0.10 133 South Hagerstown 1 11 129 106 130 132 106 130 368 0.10 134 Northwood, MD 1 9 130 131 128 133 132 126 391 0.10 135 Jemicy School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
<