Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials                                             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.2644653    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Westhampton            NY C  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 71.1)    17- 7   
 401 H Deer Park              NY B  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 80.0)    15- 8   
 408 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  ( 9-10, 86.2)    15-16  o
 414 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.3)     1-17   
 416 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-15, 61.3)    13- 2   
 420 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 87.2)    10- 7   
 422 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 72.4)    16- 6   
 424 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.3)    14-15  o
 428 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 79.4)    18-12   
 430 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 76.3)    13-12   
 501 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (20- 1, 99.9)     5-13   
 504 H Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 66.1)    16- 3   
 506 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 77.7)    14- 9   
 508 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 73.6)    17- 9   
 512 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 91.0)    15-18   
 513 H Summit, NJ             NJ    Group 2 (19- 4, 92.4)    13-11   
 519 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 91.7)     4-18   
 522 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  ( 9-10, 86.2)     7-26   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Westhampton            17- 7      10    13           0.00
   401 H Deer Park              15- 8       7     4    +      2.38
   408 H Ward Melville          15-16  o   -1    -1           0.58
   414 A West Islip              1-17     -16   -10           0.00
   416 H Copiague               13- 2      11    23           0.00
   420 A Commack                10- 7       3    -4    +++    7.38
   422 A Patchogue-Medford      16- 6      10    10           0.00
   424 A Smithtown East         14-15  o   -1    -4    +      3.47
   428 H Half Hollow Hills      18-12       6     5           0.75
   430 A Sachem East            13-12       1     6    --    -5.59
   501 H Northport               5-13      -8   -15    +      2.00
   504 H Brentwood, NY          16- 3      13    18           0.00
   506 H East Islip             14- 9       5     6          -1.93
   508 H Walt Whitman, NY       17- 9       8    11    -     -2.00
   512 A West Babylon           15-18      -3    -8    ++     5.10
   513 H Summit, NJ             13-11       2    -7          n/a  
   519 A Bay Shore               4-18     -14    -8          -1.17
   522 A Ward Melville           7-26     -19    -3    ---   -6.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 A Ward Melville           7-26     -19    -3    ---   -6.62
   430 A Sachem East            13-12       1     6    --    -5.59
   508 H Walt Whitman, NY       17- 9       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Commack                10- 7       3    -4    +++    7.38
   513 H Summit, NJ             13-11       2    -7    +++        
   512 A West Babylon           15-18      -3    -8    ++     5.10
   401 H Deer Park              15- 8       7     4    +      2.38
   424 A Smithtown East         14-15  o   -1    -4    +      3.47
   501 H Northport               5-13      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.76 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.33 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.3
/