Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Kristen Zbrzezny      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.3945694    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 89.9)     2- 9   
 406 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-10, 76.7)    16-12   
 421 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 0- 7, 76.8)   
 423 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 87.1)    10-15   
 424 H Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 83.2)    12-11   
 428 N Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (11- 6, 93.4)     8-14   
 430 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 89.9)    12-11   
 504 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-10, 76.7)   
 506 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 87.1)     6-12   
 507 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 1- 5, 75.9)   
 512 A Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 83.2)   
 514 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (11- 6, 93.4)    10-18   
 515 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (14- 4, 94.0)     4- 9   
 518 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 5- 5, 91.8)  9
 519 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (10- 8, 92.6)     9-18   
 529 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-13, 86.7)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A West Seneca East        2- 9      -7    -8           1.49
   406 A Sweet Home             16-12       4     4          -0.71
   423 H Iroquois               10-15      -5    -3          -1.77
   424 H Lake Shore             12-11       1     0           0.41
   428 N Hamburg                 8-14      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   430 H West Seneca East       12-11       1    -6    +++    7.03
   506 A Iroquois                6-12      -6    -5          -0.31
   514 H Hamburg                10-18      -8    -9           1.61
   515 H East Aurora             4- 9      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   519 A Frontier                9-18      -9   -11           1.00
   529 H West Seneca West        9-10      -1    -2           1.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H West Seneca East       12-11       1    -6    +++    7.03
   428 N Hamburg                 8-14      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   515 H East Aurora             4- 9      -5   -10    ++     5.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.60 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.18 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/