Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Nancy Haws            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.5055695    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (15- 5, 92.2)    15-13  o
 319 A St. Anne's-Belfield    VA    LIS     (16- 5, 92.2)    11-15   
 323 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   (10- 5, 82.6)    12- 7   
 327 H Salem, VA              VA    NW AA   ( 9- 3, 82.7)    18-12   
 328 H Peters Township        PA    WP D1-1 (15- 7, 97.8)    10-11  o
 331 A Kettle Run             VA    NW AA   ( 2- 9, 67.1)    14- 5   
 414 H Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (11- 6, 92.0)    13-12 2o
 416 A St. Catherine's School VA    LIS     ( 7- 9, 82.5)    14-15   
 417 A Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   ( 9- 4, 84.2)    11- 4   
 421 H James River HS         VA    NW AA   ( 5- 5, 76.3)    20- 5   
 428 H Covenant School        VA    LIS     (10- 4, 81.3)    14- 5   
 501 A Rockbridge County      VA    NW AA   ( 7- 7, 79.5)    14- 7   
 506 H Brentsville District   VA    NW AA   ( 4- 8, 71.6)    18- 4   
 507 N Albemarle              VA    NW AAA  (11- 6, 92.0)     7-13   
 512 N Rockbridge County      VA    NW AA   ( 7- 7, 79.5)    19- 7   
 514 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   (10- 5, 82.6)    15- 8   
 518 H Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (12- 3, 84.0)    21- 8   
 520 A Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (15- 5, 92.2)     7-10   
 529 A Chantilly              VA    Cncrd   (21- 2, 99.9)     5-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Broad Run              15-13  o    2    -3    ++     5.99
   319 A St. Anne's-Belfield    11-15      -4    -3          -0.06
   323 H Charlottesville        12- 7       5     8    -     -3.11
   327 H Salem, VA              18-12       6     8    -     -2.02
   328 H Peters Township        10-11  o   -1    -7          n/a  
   331 A Kettle Run             14- 5       9    21          -1.00
   414 H Albemarle              13-12 2o    1    -1    +      2.35
   416 A St. Catherine's School 14-15      -1     5    ---   -6.75
   417 A Monticello, VA         11- 4       7     4    +      2.90
   421 H James River HS         20- 5      15    14           0.00
   428 H Covenant School        14- 5       9     9          -0.41
   501 A Rockbridge County      14- 7       7     8          -1.78
   506 H Brentsville District   18- 4      14    19           0.00
   507 N Albemarle               7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.43
   512 N Rockbridge County      19- 7      12     9           0.01
   514 H Charlottesville        15- 8       7     8          -1.11
   518 H Loudoun County         21- 8      13     6    +      3.27
   520 A Broad Run               7-10      -3    -3           0.99
   529 A Chantilly               5-20     -15   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A St. Catherine's School 14-15      -1     5    ---   -6.75
   323 H Charlottesville        12- 7       5     8    -     -3.11
   327 H Salem, VA              18-12       6     8    -     -2.02
   507 N Albemarle               7-13      -6    -2    -     -3.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Peters Township        10-11  o   -1    -7    +++        
   314 A Broad Run              15-13  o    2    -3    ++     5.99
   414 H Albemarle              13-12 2o    1    -1    +      2.35
   417 A Monticello, VA         11- 4       7     4    +      2.90
   518 H Loudoun County         21- 8      13     6    +      3.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.48 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.52 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   111
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/