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Region = VA NW AA Nickname = A Warriors Coach = Nancy HawsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.5055695 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 314 A Broad Run VA NW AA (15- 5, 92.2) 15-13 o 319 A St. Anne's-Belfield VA LIS (16- 5, 92.2) 11-15 323 H Charlottesville VA NW AA (10- 5, 82.6) 12- 7 327 H Salem, VA VA NW AA ( 9- 3, 82.7) 18-12 328 H Peters Township PA WP D1-1 (15- 7, 97.8) 10-11 o 331 A Kettle Run VA NW AA ( 2- 9, 67.1) 14- 5 414 H Albemarle VA NW AAA (11- 6, 92.0) 13-12 2o 416 A St. Catherine's School VA LIS ( 7- 9, 82.5) 14-15 417 A Monticello, VA VA NW AA ( 9- 4, 84.2) 11- 4 421 H James River HS VA NW AA ( 5- 5, 76.3) 20- 5 428 H Covenant School VA LIS (10- 4, 81.3) 14- 5 501 A Rockbridge County VA NW AA ( 7- 7, 79.5) 14- 7 506 H Brentsville District VA NW AA ( 4- 8, 71.6) 18- 4 507 N Albemarle VA NW AAA (11- 6, 92.0) 7-13 512 N Rockbridge County VA NW AA ( 7- 7, 79.5) 19- 7 514 H Charlottesville VA NW AA (10- 5, 82.6) 15- 8 518 H Loudoun County VA NW AA (12- 3, 84.0) 21- 8 520 A Broad Run VA NW AA (15- 5, 92.2) 7-10 529 A Chantilly VA Cncrd (21- 2, 99.9) 5-20PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A Broad Run 15-13 o 2 -3 ++ 5.99 319 A St. Anne's-Belfield 11-15 -4 -3 -0.06 323 H Charlottesville 12- 7 5 8 - -3.11 327 H Salem, VA 18-12 6 8 - -2.02 328 H Peters Township 10-11 o -1 -7 n/a 331 A Kettle Run 14- 5 9 21 -1.00 414 H Albemarle 13-12 2o 1 -1 + 2.35 416 A St. Catherine's School 14-15 -1 5 --- -6.75 417 A Monticello, VA 11- 4 7 4 + 2.90 421 H James River HS 20- 5 15 14 0.00 428 H Covenant School 14- 5 9 9 -0.41 501 A Rockbridge County 14- 7 7 8 -1.78 506 H Brentsville District 18- 4 14 19 0.00 507 N Albemarle 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.43 512 N Rockbridge County 19- 7 12 9 0.01 514 H Charlottesville 15- 8 7 8 -1.11 518 H Loudoun County 21- 8 13 6 + 3.27 520 A Broad Run 7-10 -3 -3 0.99 529 A Chantilly 5-20 -15 -11 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A St. Catherine's School 14-15 -1 5 --- -6.75 323 H Charlottesville 12- 7 5 8 - -3.11 327 H Salem, VA 18-12 6 8 - -2.02 507 N Albemarle 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.43OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Peters Township 10-11 o -1 -7 +++ 314 A Broad Run 15-13 o 2 -3 ++ 5.99 414 H Albemarle 13-12 2o 1 -1 + 2.35 417 A Monticello, VA 11- 4 7 4 + 2.90 518 H Loudoun County 21- 8 13 6 + 3.27/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.48 Local Power Rank........... 15 Local SOS Rating......... 67.52 Local SOS Rank............. 15 Local RPI Rating......... 0.66 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 111 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 12 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -15.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7