Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Warriors             Coach  =   Debbie Smith          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.1046295    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 N Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 90.9)     7-10   
 413 N Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 93.7)     7- 9   
 415 N Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 68.3)    16- 7   
 417 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 92.6)     7-13   
 420 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (18- 3, 99.9)    10-14   
 429 N Brockport              NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 82.7)     9- 8   
 430 A Our Lady of Mercy, NY  NY C  Sec 5   (13- 6, 85.9)    16-10   
 505 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 90.9)     8-11   
 507 A Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 93.7)     8- 9   
 509 H Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 7- 9, 85.3)     9- 8   
 511 A Marcus Whitman         NY C  Sec 5   (15- 5, 86.0)     7- 5   
 513 A Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 68.3)    20- 6   
 515 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 78.2)    12- 6   
 516 A Brockport              NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 82.7)     7- 5   
 519 A Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 78.2)    13- 9   
 520 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 85.3)    11-14   
 527 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 88.8)     6-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 N Webster Thomas          7-10      -3    -4           1.41
   413 N Penfield                7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.23
   415 N Churchville-Chili      16- 7       9    18          -1.00
   417 A Rush-Henrietta          7-13      -6    -7           1.17
   420 A Lancaster, NY          10-14      -4   -14          n/a  
   429 N Brockport               9- 8       1     3    -     -2.77
   430 A Our Lady of Mercy, NY  16-10       6     0    +++    6.50
   505 H Webster Thomas          8-11      -3    -3           0.38
   507 A Penfield                8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.26
   509 H Victor                  9- 8       1     2          -1.18
   511 A Marcus Whitman          7- 5       2     0    +      2.60
   513 A Churchville-Chili      20- 6      14    17           0.00
   515 H Spencerport            12- 6       6     9    -     -3.30
   516 A Brockport               7- 5       2     2          -0.75
   519 A Spencerport            13- 9       4     7    -     -3.25
   520 A Irondequoit            11-14      -3     0    -     -3.14
   527 A Pittsford               6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 N Brockport               9- 8       1     3    -     -2.77
   515 H Spencerport            12- 6       6     9    -     -3.30
   519 A Spencerport            13- 9       4     7    -     -3.25
   520 A Irondequoit            11-14      -3     0    -     -3.14
   527 A Pittsford               6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.61

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Lancaster, NY          10-14      -4   -14    +++        
   430 A Our Lady of Mercy, NY  16-10       6     0    +++    6.50
   507 A Penfield                8- 9      -1    -8    +++    7.26
   413 N Penfield                7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.23
   511 A Marcus Whitman          7- 5       2     0    +      2.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.46 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.54 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/