Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Erin Blaney           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.5984497    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.0)    13-21   
 406 A Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (20- 1, 99.9)    10-16   
 408 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 83.8)    16-15  o
 414 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 77.7)    16-10   
 417 A Manhasset              NY C  Sec 8   (15- 4, 93.5)    10-16   
 420 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 79.4)    19- 4   
 422 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 85.2)    17- 6   
 424 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.3)     5-17   
 428 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.3)    24-14   
 430 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (20- 1, 99.9)    13-19   
 501 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.4)    13- 7   
 504 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 91.7)    12-14   
 506 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 76.3)    17-11   
 508 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 87.2)    14-15   
 512 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 73.6)    19- 8   
 514 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 84.9)    10-12   
 519 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 91.0)     6-18   
 522 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 83.8)    26- 7   
 528 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.3)    12-22   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Sayville               13-21      -8    -5    -     -2.19
   406 A Yorktown, NY           10-16      -6   -14          n/a  
   408 A William Floyd          16-15  o    1     1          -0.58
   414 H East Islip             16-10       6     9    -     -3.41
   417 A Manhasset              10-16      -6    -7          n/a  
   420 H Half Hollow Hills      19- 4      15     7    +      2.27
   422 A Lindenhurst            17- 6      11     0    +++    9.82
   424 A West Islip              5-17     -12    -7    -     -2.09
   428 H Smithtown East         24-14      10     0    +++   10.19
   430 H Northport              13-19      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   501 A Sachem North           13- 7       6     5           0.06
   504 H Bay Shore              12-14      -2    -4    +      2.56
   506 A Sachem East            17-11       6     9    -     -3.07
   508 H Commack                14-15      -1     0          -0.89
   512 H Walt Whitman, NY       19- 8      11    13           0.00
   514 A North Babylon          10-12      -2     0    -     -2.43
   519 A West Babylon            6-18     -12    -5    --    -4.38
   522 H William Floyd          26- 7      19     3    +++    6.62
   528 A West Islip             12-22     -10    -7    -     -2.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A West Babylon            6-18     -12    -5    --    -4.38
   327 H Sayville               13-21      -8    -5    -     -2.19
   414 H East Islip             16-10       6     9    -     -3.41
   424 A West Islip              5-17     -12    -7    -     -2.09
   506 A Sachem East            17-11       6     9    -     -3.07
   514 A North Babylon          10-12      -2     0    -     -2.43
   528 A West Islip             12-22     -10    -7    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 A Lindenhurst            17- 6      11     0    +++    9.82
   428 H Smithtown East         24-14      10     0    +++   10.19
   522 H William Floyd          26- 7      19     3    +++    6.62
   406 A Yorktown, NY           10-16      -6   -14    ++         
   430 H Northport              13-19      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   420 H Half Hollow Hills      19- 4      15     7    +      2.27
   504 H Bay Shore              12-14      -2    -4    +      2.56
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.24 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.69 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/