Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Carin Peterson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.7890015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Annapolis              MD    3A-2A   (14- 3, 92.1)    10- 4   
 324 A North County           MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 8, 74.0)    20- 1   
 327 H Northeast              MD    3A-2A   ( 3-12, 73.4)    20- 3   
 331 H Arundel                MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 6, 83.9)    19- 5   
 407 A Chesapeake, AA County  MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 8, 81.7)    21- 5   
 411 N Catonsville            MD    4A-3A   ( 4- 9, 78.4)    20- 3   
 414 H Southern, Anne Arundel MD    2A-1A   ( 5- 8, 78.0)    19- 2   
 417 H Broadneck              MD    4A-3A   (14- 2, 95.3)     9-18   
 418 N Severn School          MD    IAAM A  ( 7-12, 85.0)     6- 9   
 421 H Glen Burnie            MD    4A-3A   ( 3-11, 70.9)    18- 3   
 424 A Meade                  MD    4A-3A   ( 0-12, 66.4)    19- 0   
 425 A Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  ( 9-12, 85.8)    10-13   
 428 H Old Mill               MD    4A-3A   ( 5-11, 76.5)    19- 1   
 501 A South River            MD    4A-3A   (15- 3, 95.4)    14- 5   
 509 H Huntingtown            MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 6, 76.3)    23- 1   
 511 A Broadneck              MD    4A-3A   (14- 2, 95.3)    16- 9   
 513 H South River            MD    4A-3A   (15- 3, 95.4)    12- 7   
 516 N Dulaney                MD    4A-3A   (10- 6, 88.3)    12- 5   
 519 N Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   (16- 2, 98.5)     7- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Annapolis              10- 4       6     4           1.55
   324 A North County           20- 1      19    22           0.00
   327 H Northeast              20- 3      17    24           0.00
   331 H Arundel                19- 5      14    14           0.00
   407 A Chesapeake, AA County  21- 5      16    14           0.00
   411 N Catonsville            20- 3      17    18           0.00
   414 H Southern, Anne Arundel 19- 2      17    19           0.00
   417 H Broadneck               9-18      -9     2    ---  -11.66
   418 N Severn School           6- 9      -3    12          n/a  
   421 H Glen Burnie            18- 3      15    27           0.00
   424 A Meade                  19- 0      19    30           0.00
   425 A Archbishop Spalding    10-13      -3    10          n/a  
   428 H Old Mill               19- 1      18    21           0.00
   501 A South River            14- 5       9     1    +++    7.79
   509 H Huntingtown            23- 1      22    21           0.00
   511 A Broadneck              16- 9       7     1    ++     5.67
   513 H South River            12- 7       5     2    +      2.45
   516 N Dulaney                12- 5       7     8          -1.97
   519 N Westminster, MD         7- 5       2    -1    +      3.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Broadneck               9-18      -9     2    ---  -11.66
   418 N Severn School           6- 9      -3    12    ---        
   425 A Archbishop Spalding    10-13      -3    10    ---        

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A South River            14- 5       9     1    +++    7.79
   511 A Broadneck              16- 9       7     1    ++     5.67
   513 H South River            12- 7       5     2    +      2.45
   519 N Westminster, MD         7- 5       2    -1    +      3.25
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.27 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.66 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .   29.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   10.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/