Conf =  A                         Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Brian Melanson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.8492737    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 406 A Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-11, 64.6)    16- 7   
 408 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   ( 1-13, 59.2)    13- 4   
 409 H Schuylerville          NY C  Sec 2   (10- 8, 72.6)    17-11   
 421 H Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 1-13, 59.0)    15- 4   
 422 H Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   ( 5- 8, 68.7)    20- 8   
 424 H South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 0-14, 60.7)    16- 3   
 427 H Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   (10- 6, 75.2)    12-10   
 429 H Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (14- 7, 76.3)    15- 7   
 430 A Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (17- 1, 84.1)     6-11   
 504 A Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 1-13, 59.0)    16- 4   
 506 A Holy Names Acad, NY    NY B  Sec 2   ( 8- 7, 72.7)    17- 9   
 508 H Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (17- 1, 84.1)     9-13   
 512 H Holy Names Acad, NY    NY B  Sec 2   ( 8- 7, 72.7)    20-12   
 514 A Colonie                NY A  Sec 2   ( 7- 8, 80.3)  8
 515 A Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   (10- 6, 75.2)     9- 8   
 518 H Saratoga Springs, NY   NY A  Sec 2   ( 9- 8, 85.3)     3-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Johnstown              16- 7       9    13          -1.00
   408 H Queensbury             13- 4       9    21          -1.00
   409 H Schuylerville          17-11       6     8    -     -2.36
   421 H Cohoes                 15- 4      11    21           0.00
   422 H Scotia-Glenville       20- 8      12    12           0.00
   424 H South Glens Falls      16- 3      13    20           0.00
   427 H Emma Willard           12-10       2     5    -     -3.82
   429 H Glens Falls            15- 7       8     4    +      3.29
   430 A Albany Academy SG       6-11      -5    -6           1.13
   504 A Cohoes                 16- 4      12    18           0.00
   506 A Holy Names Acad, NY    17- 9       8     5    +      2.79
   508 H Albany Academy SG       9-13      -4    -3          -0.91
   512 H Holy Names Acad, NY    20-12       8     8          -0.25
   515 A Emma Willard            9- 8       1     2          -1.78
   518 H Saratoga Springs, NY    3-14     -11    -4    --    -5.68

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H Saratoga Springs, NY    3-14     -11    -4    --    -5.68
   409 H Schuylerville          17-11       6     8    -     -2.36
   427 H Emma Willard           12-10       2     5    -     -3.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Glens Falls            15- 7       8     4    +      3.29
   506 A Holy Names Acad, NY    17- 9       8     5    +      2.79
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.46 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 44.17 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/