Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Flaming Arrows       Coach  =   Kevin Krause          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.5089874    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 82.4)     5- 9   
 328 A Carle Place            NY C  Sec 8   ( 5-11, 77.0)    11-10   
 401 A Comsewogue             NY B  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 77.0)     5- 6   
 408 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 66.1)    12- 4   
 414 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 72.4)    20-12   
 416 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (20- 1, 99.9)     4-20   
 420 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 85.2)     6-11   
 424 A Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 82.4)     8-11   
 428 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-14, 67.1)    17- 9   
 430 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 77.3)    12- 9   
 501 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  ( 9-10, 86.2)     7-13   
 504 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 84.9)     9-10   
 506 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 91.0)    11-16   
 508 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.3)    14-17   
 512 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-15, 61.3)    16- 1   
 514 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 91.7)     3-15   
 519 A Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 73.6)    10- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Kings Park              5- 9      -4    -2          -1.95
   328 A Carle Place            11-10       1     1          n/a  
   401 A Comsewogue              5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.48
   408 A Brentwood, NY          12- 4       8    12    -     -2.00
   414 H Patchogue-Medford      20-12       8     7           0.05
   416 A Northport               4-20     -16   -21           0.00
   420 H Lindenhurst             6-11      -5    -4          -0.14
   424 A Connetquot              8-11      -3    -3           0.91
   428 H Longwood               17- 9       8    13    -     -2.00
   430 A Middle Country         12- 9       3     1           1.74
   501 H Ward Melville           7-13      -6    -5          -0.06
   504 A North Babylon           9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.40
   506 H West Babylon           11-16      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   508 A West Islip             14-17      -3   -14    +++    7.00
   512 H Copiague               16- 1      15    18           0.00
   514 H Bay Shore               3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   519 A Walt Whitman, NY       10- 4       6     4           1.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Comsewogue              5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.48
   408 A Brentwood, NY          12- 4       8    12    -     -2.00
   428 H Longwood               17- 9       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A West Islip             14-17      -3   -14    +++    7.00
   504 A North Babylon           9-10      -1    -6    ++     5.40
   506 H West Babylon           11-16      -5   -10    ++     5.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.41 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.90 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/