Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Wayne Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.5145264    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Penn Yan Academy       NY C  Sec 5   (16- 5, 93.8)    12-10   
 331 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 88.8)    10- 9   
 403 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (16- 5, 93.7)    13- 6   
 409 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 78.2)    18- 7   
 413 N Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 86.5)     9- 7   
 415 H Brockport              NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 82.7)    18- 6   
 427 A Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 68.3)    22- 8   
 429 N Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 90.9)    14-10   
 504 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (19- 2, 99.8)     9-17   
 505 A Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 78.2)    16- 4   
 507 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 8, 86.5)     9- 8   
 508 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (12- 6, 90.9)    12-10  o
 511 A East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   (11- 7, 93.4)    15-16 2o
 516 H Churchville-Chili      NY B  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 68.3)    22- 3   
 518 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 85.3)    14-13  o
 519 A Brockport              NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 82.7)    11-10   
 527 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 74.2)    20- 8   
 530 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 88.8)     8- 7   
 603 N Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (16- 5, 93.7)    13-14  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Penn Yan Academy       12-10       2    -1    +      3.13
   331 N Pittsford              10- 9       1     4    -     -3.87
   403 A Fairport               13- 6       7    -1    +++    8.01
   409 H Spencerport            18- 7      11    16           0.00
   413 N Webster Schroeder       9- 7       2     7    --    -5.23
   415 H Brockport              18- 6      12    12           0.00
   427 A Churchville-Chili      22- 8      14    24           0.00
   429 N Webster Thomas         14-10       4     2           1.17
   504 A Baldwinsville           9-17      -8    -7          n/a  
   505 A Spencerport            16- 4      12    14           0.00
   507 H Webster Schroeder       9- 8       1     8    ---   -7.26
   508 H Webster Thomas         12-10  o    2     3          -1.85
   511 A East Rochester         15-16 2o   -1     0          -0.24
   516 H Churchville-Chili      22- 3      19    26           0.00
   518 A Irondequoit            14-13  o    1     7    ---   -6.37
   519 A Brockport              11-10       1     9    ---   -8.99
   527 H Gates-Chili            20- 8      12    20           0.00
   530 N Pittsford               8- 7       1     4    -     -3.87
   603 N Fairport               13-14  o   -1     0          -1.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Webster Schroeder       9- 8       1     8    ---   -7.26
   518 A Irondequoit            14-13  o    1     7    ---   -6.37
   519 A Brockport              11-10       1     9    ---   -8.99
   413 N Webster Schroeder       9- 7       2     7    --    -5.23
   331 N Pittsford              10- 9       1     4    -     -3.87
   530 N Pittsford               8- 7       1     4    -     -3.87

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Fairport               13- 6       7    -1    +++    8.01
   327 A Penn Yan Academy       12-10       2    -1    +      3.13
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.70 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.86 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    25
 Local Quality Win Rating.225.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/