Niagara-Wheatfield            6 - 4


 
   Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Kim Abrams            



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   85.2451477    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-10, 76.7)   
 421 N Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 2- 2, 83.2)     9-17   
 425 A Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 2- 2, 78.5)     2-16   
 427 A Nichols School         NY    Club    (16- 6, 96.4)     4-16   
 428 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 1- 5, 75.9)    11- 3   
 430 H North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 0- 5, 68.9)    14- 5   
 506 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 2- 2, 83.2)    24-10   
 508 A North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 0- 5, 68.9)    15- 5   
 509 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 93.8)     3-13   
 512 H Niagara Falls          NY A  Sec 6   ( 2- 2, 78.5)    18- 3   
 514 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 1- 5, 75.9)    11- 8   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 N Lockport                9-17      -8     1    ---   -9.57
   425 A Niagara Falls           2-16     -14     5    ---  -15.10
   427 A Nichols School          4-16     -12   -12           0.00
   428 A Grand Island           11- 3       8     7           0.37
   430 H North Tonawanda        14- 5       9    17          -1.00
   506 A Lockport               24-10      14     0    +++    9.66
   508 A North Tonawanda        15- 5      10    14           0.00
   509 A Clarence                3-13     -10   -10           0.00
   512 H Niagara Falls          18- 3      15     7    +      2.44
   514 H Grand Island           11- 8       3    10    ---   -7.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 N Lockport                9-17      -8     1    ---   -9.57
   425 A Niagara Falls           2-16     -14     5    ---  -15.10
   514 H Grand Island           11- 8       3    10    ---   -7.00


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A Lockport               24-10      14     0    +++    9.66
   512 H Niagara Falls          18- 3      15     7    +      2.44




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.81 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.15 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7


  
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