Region = CT    Div 2            
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Al Morgenthaler       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.8730087    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Fairfield Ludlowe      CT    Div 2   ( 6- 8, 78.4)    12-11   
 411 A Danbury                CT    Div 2   ( 5-11, 77.1)     5-20   
 414 A Brien McMahon          CT    Div 1   (12- 7, 86.1)     5-15   
 417 H Greenwich HS           CT    Div 1   (15- 6, 90.4)     4-20   
 423 H Wilton                 CT    Div 1   (16- 3, 96.6)     3-23   
 425 A Trumbull               CT    Div 2   ( 6-10, 77.4)     7-15   
 428 H Darien                 CT    Div 1   (20- 2, 99.9)     2-23   
 430 H Shelton                CT    Div 2   ( 0-16, 57.9)    17- 7   
 505 A St. Joseph, CT         CT    Div 2   ( 4-12, 71.3)    17-23 2o
 508 A Staples                CT    Div 2   ( 9- 9, 80.7)    10-23   
 509 H St. Joseph, CT         CT    Div 2   ( 4-12, 71.3)    14- 9   
 512 A Fairfield Warde        CT    Div 1   (11- 7, 83.4)     8-21   
 515 A Weston, CT             CT    Div 2   ( 4-12, 67.9)    15-12   
 519 H New Canaan             CT    Div 1   (18- 5, 94.4)     5-20   
 522 H Ridgefield             CT    Div 2   ( 5-11, 76.4)    13-19   
 527 A Shelton                CT    Div 2   ( 0-16, 57.9)    16- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Fairfield Ludlowe      12-11       1    -6    +++    7.57
   411 A Danbury                 5-20     -15    -7    -     -2.66
   414 A Brien McMahon           5-15     -10   -16           0.00
   417 H Greenwich HS            4-20     -16   -18           0.00
   423 H Wilton                  3-23     -20   -24           0.00
   425 A Trumbull                7-15      -8    -7          -0.28
   428 H Darien                  2-23     -21   -28           0.00
   430 H Shelton                17- 7      10    13           0.00
   505 A St. Joseph, CT         17-23 2o   -6    -1    --    -4.39
   508 A Staples                10-23     -13   -10           0.00
   509 H St. Joseph, CT         14- 9       5     0    ++     4.47
   512 A Fairfield Warde         8-21     -13   -13           0.00
   515 A Weston, CT             15-12       3     1           1.20
   519 H New Canaan              5-20     -15   -22           0.00
   522 H Ridgefield             13-19      -6    -4          -1.50
   527 A Shelton                16- 4      12    11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A St. Joseph, CT         17-23 2o   -6    -1    --    -4.39
   411 A Danbury                 5-20     -15    -7    -     -2.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Fairfield Ludlowe      12-11       1    -6    +++    7.57
   509 H St. Joseph, CT         14- 9       5     0    ++     4.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.79 Local Power Rank...........    45
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.26 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    53
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    47
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    41
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/