Region = MA    West D1          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   David Yelle           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.1400986    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A South Hadley           MA    West D1 (10-10, 81.2)    10- 7   
 409 H Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 2-13, 69.3)    20- 6   
 413 H West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 2-12, 70.9)    13- 1   
 415 A Simsbury               CT    Div 1   ( 7- 8, 78.4)    14- 8   
 417 A Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 2-13, 69.3)    12- 2   
 421 H Conard                 CT    Div 1   ( 8- 9, 79.9)    15- 8   
 427 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 2-11, 72.3)    13- 4   
 428 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 7-10, 77.6)    12- 1   
 430 A Agawam                 MA    West D1 (14- 7, 87.1)    17-12   
 504 A Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (21- 2, 99.9)     8-17   
 506 H East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 9- 8, 81.6)    20- 6   
 508 H Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 8- 7, 81.7)    16- 4   
 511 H Tantasqua              MA    Cen D1  ( 8-13, 68.8)    19- 2   
 513 H Agawam                 MA    West D1 (14- 7, 87.1)    16- 8   
 515 H Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (21- 2, 99.9)     9-14   
 519 A Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 8- 7, 81.7)    15- 9   
 522 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 2-11, 72.3)    13- 2   
 526 A East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 9- 8, 81.6)    14- 3   
 529 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 7-10, 77.6)    16- 4   
 602 H Agawam                 MA    West D1 (14- 7, 87.1)    10- 5   
 608 N Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (21- 2, 99.9)     5-22   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A South Hadley           10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.72
   409 H Cathedral, MA          20- 6      14    23           0.00
   413 H West Springfield, MA   13- 1      12    21           0.00
   415 A Simsbury               14- 8       6    12          n/a  
   417 A Cathedral, MA          12- 2      10    21           0.00
   421 H Conard                 15- 8       7    12          n/a  
   427 A Westfield HS, MA       13- 4       9    18          -1.00
   428 A Amherst-Pelham         12- 1      11    13           0.00
   430 A Agawam                 17-12       5     3           1.16
   504 A Longmeadow              8-17      -9    -8          -0.01
   506 H East Longmeadow        20- 6      14    11           0.00
   508 H Northampton            16- 4      12    10           0.00
   511 H Tantasqua              19- 2      17    23           0.00
   513 H Agawam                 16- 8       8     5    +      2.37
   515 H Longmeadow              9-14      -5    -7    +      2.20
   519 A Northampton            15- 9       6     9    -     -3.18
   522 H Westfield HS, MA       13- 2      11    20           0.00
   526 A East Longmeadow        14- 3      11     9           0.71
   529 H Amherst-Pelham         16- 4      12    15           0.00
   602 H Agawam                 10- 5       5     5          -0.63
   608 N Longmeadow              5-22     -17    -8          -1.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A South Hadley           10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.72
   415 A Simsbury               14- 8       6    12    --         
   421 H Conard                 15- 8       7    12    -          
   519 A Northampton            15- 9       6     9    -     -3.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Agawam                 16- 8       8     5    +      2.37
   515 H Longmeadow              9-14      -5    -7    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.81 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.95 Local SOS Rank.............    39
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    92
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/