Region = MA    West D1          
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Kathy Parker          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 2-13, 69.3)    17- 0   
 402 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 7-10, 77.6)    20- 1   
 408 A West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 2-12, 70.9)    18- 3   
 414 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 2-11, 72.3)    19- 0   
 418 A Andover, MA            MA    No D1   (14- 5, 88.0)    10- 3   
 423 H Agawam                 MA    West D1 (14- 7, 87.1)    17- 6   
 425 A Loomis Chaffee School  NE            (14- 1, 99.9)     8-14   
 428 A East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 9- 8, 81.6)    19- 3   
 502 H Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (24- 1, 99.5)     9- 5   
 504 H Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (18- 3, 91.8)    17- 8   
 509 A Deerfield Academy, MA  NE            ( 9- 5, 90.3)    11- 8   
 512 A Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 8- 7, 81.7)    21- 3   
 513 A Hotchkiss School       NE            (11- 4, 93.2)     6- 4   
 515 A Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (18- 3, 91.8)    14- 9   
 516 H Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 8- 7, 81.7)    19- 1   
 518 H South Hadley           MA    West D1 (10-10, 81.2)    19- 7   
 521 A Westborough            MA    Cen D1  (14- 5, 90.4)    15-10   
 522 H East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 9- 8, 81.6)    22- 5   
 526 A Agawam                 MA    West D1 (14- 7, 87.1)    18- 6   
 602 N East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 9- 8, 81.6)    20- 1   
 608 N Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (18- 3, 91.8)    22- 5   
 610 N Westborough            MA    Cen D1  (14- 5, 90.4)    15- 7   
 612 N Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (24- 1, 99.5)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Cathedral, MA          17- 0      17    31           0.00
   402 H Amherst-Pelham         20- 1      19    23           0.00
   408 A West Springfield, MA   18- 3      15    28           0.00
   414 H Westfield HS, MA       19- 0      19    28           0.00
   418 A Andover, MA            10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   423 H Agawam                 17- 6      11    13           0.00
   425 A Loomis Chaffee School   8-14      -6     0          n/a  
   428 A East Longmeadow        19- 3      16    17           0.00
   502 H Westwood, MA            9- 5       4     1    +      2.69
   504 H Minnechaug             17- 8       9     8           0.01
   509 A Deerfield Academy, MA  11- 8       3     8          n/a  
   512 A Northampton            21- 3      18    17           0.00
   513 A Hotchkiss School        6- 4       2     5          n/a  
   515 A Minnechaug             14- 9       5     7    -     -2.20
   516 H Northampton            19- 1      18    19           0.00
   518 H South Hadley           19- 7      12    19           0.00
   521 A Westborough            15-10       5     8    -     -3.62
   522 H East Longmeadow        22- 5      17    19           0.00
   526 A Agawam                 18- 6      12    11           0.00
   602 N East Longmeadow        20- 1      19    18           0.00
   608 N Minnechaug             22- 5      17     8           1.91
   610 N Westborough            15- 7       8     9          -1.52
   612 N Westwood, MA           10-11      -1     0          -1.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Loomis Chaffee School   8-14      -6     0    --         
   509 A Deerfield Academy, MA  11- 8       3     8    --         
   418 A Andover, MA            10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   513 A Hotchkiss School        6- 4       2     5    -          
   515 A Minnechaug             14- 9       5     7    -     -2.20
   521 A Westborough            15-10       5     8    -     -3.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Westwood, MA            9- 5       4     1    +      2.69
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.04 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.71 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   40.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.175.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 21- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   10.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.0
/