Region = NJ    Group 1          
   Nickname = J Colts                Coach  =   Katie Kelly           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.4869537    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Mountain Lakes         NJ    Group 1 (18- 5, 91.9)     6-16   
 406 A Vernon Township        NJ    Group 4 (10- 9, 79.9)    10-15   
 408 H Ridgewood              NJ    Group 4 (19- 3, 95.3)     6-15   
 414 A Glen Rock              NJ    Group 1 ( 9- 9, 80.1)    15-13   
 416 H Glen Ridge             NJ    Group 1 (13- 5, 88.5)    11-12   
 418 H Montclair Kimberley    NJ    Group 1 ( 3-15, 71.2)    18- 8   
 420 H Morristown-Beard       NJ    Group 1 (11-10, 79.4)    15- 6   
 423 H Northern Highlands     NJ    Group 3 (12- 6, 80.4)    22-11   
 423 H Immaculate Heart, NJ   NJ    Group 4 (14- 4, 89.6)   
 426 A Morris Knolls          NJ    Group 3 (11- 8, 82.9)    12-11   
 427 A Montclair HS           NJ    Group 4 (11- 9, 82.7)    11-12   
 429 A Morris Catholic        NJ    Group 1 (14- 5, 83.9)    15-13   
 502 A Mountain Lakes         NJ    Group 1 (18- 5, 91.9)    10-11   
 505 H Verona, NJ             NJ    Group 1 ( 4-12, 73.9)    17-12   
 514 A Sparta                 NJ    Group 2 ( 2-13, 68.5)   
 516 A Westfield, NJ          NJ    Group 4 ( 8- 8, 77.4)    12- 9   
 519 H Morris Catholic        NJ    Group 1 (14- 5, 83.9)    17-16 3o
 521 A Mountain Lakes         NJ    Group 1 (18- 5, 91.9)    13-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Mountain Lakes          6-16     -10    -9          -0.62
   406 A Vernon Township        10-15      -5     2    ---   -7.56
   408 H Ridgewood               6-15      -9   -10           1.00
   414 A Glen Rock              15-13       2     2          -0.45
   416 H Glen Ridge             11-12      -1    -3    +      2.45
   418 H Montclair Kimberley    18- 8      10    13           0.00
   420 H Morristown-Beard       15- 6       9     5    +      3.36
   423 H Northern Highlands     22-11      11     4    ++     5.40
   426 A Morris Knolls          12-11       1     0           1.39
   427 A Montclair HS           11-12      -1     0          -0.81
   429 A Morris Catholic        15-13       2    -1    +      3.36
   502 A Mountain Lakes         10-11      -1    -9    +++    8.38
   505 H Verona, NJ             17-12       5    11    --    -5.00
   516 A Westfield, NJ          12- 9       3     5    -     -2.07
   519 H Morris Catholic        17-16 3o    1     1          -0.17
   521 A Mountain Lakes         13-20      -7    -9    +      2.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Vernon Township        10-15      -5     2    ---   -7.56
   505 H Verona, NJ             17-12       5    11    --    -5.00
   516 A Westfield, NJ          12- 9       3     5    -     -2.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Mountain Lakes         10-11      -1    -9    +++    8.38
   423 H Northern Highlands     22-11      11     4    ++     5.40
   416 H Glen Ridge             11-12      -1    -3    +      2.45
   420 H Morristown-Beard       15- 6       9     5    +      3.36
   429 A Morris Catholic        15-13       2    -1    +      3.36
   521 A Mountain Lakes         13-20      -7    -9    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.77 Local Power Rank...........    40
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.36 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    70
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    49
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/