Region = MD    IAAM A           
   Nickname = D Patriots             Coach  =   K. Porchella          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.1775665    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 A Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  ( 7-11, 83.5)    11- 8   
 324 H St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  (12- 7, 87.2)    13-12 3o
 326 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  (17- 2, 95.8)     9-17   
 327 H Bel Air                MD    3A-2A   ( 5- 9, 81.5)    20- 9   
 331 A Severn School          MD    IAAM A  ( 7-12, 85.0)    17-11   
 402 H St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  (10- 5, 88.3)    12-10   
 407 A Mount de Sales         MD    IAAM A  ( 8-11, 83.4)     7- 8   
 414 H Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  (10- 6, 89.2)    12-14   
 416 H Seton Keough           MD    IAAM A  ( 1-16, 73.4)    15- 5   
 421 A Archbishop Spalding    MD    IAAM A  ( 9-12, 85.8)    11- 9   
 423 H McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (19- 1, 99.9)     6-13   
 424 A Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  ( 6- 9, 81.9)    14- 9   
 427 A North Harford          MD    3A-2A   ( 7- 6, 87.1)    15- 7   
 428 A Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  (13- 6, 89.5)    12- 2   
 430 H Mercy, MD              MD    IAAM A  ( 2-15, 74.4)    15- 4   
 508 H Seton Keough           MD    IAAM A  ( 1-16, 73.4)    17- 9   
 512 H St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  (12- 7, 87.2)    13- 6   
 514 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  (17- 2, 95.8)    10-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Roland Park Country    11- 8       3     5    -     -2.97
   324 H St. Paul's SG, MD      13-12 3o    1     3    -     -2.52
   326 A Notre Dame Prep, MD     9-17      -8    -6          -1.67
   327 H Bel Air                20- 9      11     9          n/a  
   331 A Severn School          17-11       6     4           1.54
   402 H St. Mary's, MD         12-10       2     2          -0.35
   407 A Mount de Sales          7- 8      -1     6    ---   -7.13
   414 H Maryvale Prep          12-14      -2     1    -     -3.52
   416 H Seton Keough           15- 5      10    17           0.00
   421 A Archbishop Spalding    11- 9       2     3          -1.72
   423 H McDonogh School         6-13      -7    -9    +      2.20
   424 A Garrison Forest        14- 9       5     7    -     -2.58
   427 A North Harford          15- 7       8     2          n/a  
   428 A Bryn Mawr SG           12- 2      10     0    +++    9.99
   430 H Mercy, MD              15- 4      11    16           0.00
   508 H Seton Keough           17- 9       8    17    -     -2.00
   512 H St. Paul's SG, MD      13- 6       7     3    +      3.48
   514 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    10-14      -4    -6    +      2.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Mount de Sales          7- 8      -1     6    ---   -7.13
   317 A Roland Park Country    11- 8       3     5    -     -2.97
   324 H St. Paul's SG, MD      13-12 3o    1     3    -     -2.52
   414 H Maryvale Prep          12-14      -2     1    -     -3.52
   424 A Garrison Forest        14- 9       5     7    -     -2.58
   508 H Seton Keough           17- 9       8    17    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Bryn Mawr SG           12- 2      10     0    +++    9.99
   427 A North Harford          15- 7       8     2    ++         
   423 H McDonogh School         6-13      -7    -9    +      2.20
   512 H St. Paul's SG, MD      13- 6       7     3    +      3.48
   514 A Notre Dame Prep, MD    10-14      -4    -6    +      2.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.10 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.85 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.170.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/