Region = CT    Div 1            
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Joe Caruso            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.7623291    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Branford               CT    Div 1   ( 8-10, 77.6)     8- 7   
 413 H Pomperaug              CT    Div 2   (10- 7, 75.9)    13-10   
 416 A Lauralton Hall         CT    Div 2   ( 4-12, 65.9)    19- 5   
 421 H Brookfield, CT         CT    Div 1   (15- 6, 82.5)    15-16   
 423 A Bunnell                CT    Div 1   ( 4-12, 62.1)    21- 7   
 425 H Amity                  CT    Div 2   ( 2-12, 69.0)    17-16   
 427 A Masuk                  CT    Div 1   ( 9- 9, 72.1)    20-10   
 428 H Ridgefield             CT    Div 2   ( 5-11, 76.4)    10-16   
 430 H New Fairfield          CT    Div 1   ( 9- 8, 75.6)     8- 7   
 506 H Stratford              CT    Indep   ( 1-15, 59.1)    22- 7   
 509 H Bethel                 CT    Div 2   ( 7-10, 69.6)    16-11   
 511 H New Milford            CT    Div 2   (14- 7, 78.3)    18-16   
 512 A Notre Dame Catholic    CT    Div 2   ( 1-15, 58.7)    18- 4   
 513 A Immaculate             CT    Div 2   (13- 8, 79.2)    15-14   
 518 A Weston, CT             CT    Div 2   ( 4-12, 67.9)    19-10   
 520 H Newtown                CT    Div 1   (18- 3, 89.2)     8-17   
 528 H Immaculate             CT    Div 2   (13- 8, 79.2)    12-14   
 606 A New Canaan             CT    Div 1   (18- 5, 94.4)     4-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Branford                8- 7       1     3    -     -2.52
   413 H Pomperaug              13-10       3     5    -     -2.14
   416 A Lauralton Hall         19- 5      14    13           0.00
   421 H Brookfield, CT         15-16      -1    -1           0.42
   423 A Bunnell                21- 7      14    16           0.00
   425 H Amity                  17-16       1    12    ---   -9.00
   427 A Masuk                  20-10      10     6    +      3.14
   428 H Ridgefield             10-16      -6     4    ---  -10.70
   430 H New Fairfield           8- 7       1     5    --    -4.42
   506 H Stratford              22- 7      15    21           0.00
   509 H Bethel                 16-11       5    11    --    -5.00
   511 H New Milford            18-16       2     2          -0.80
   512 A Notre Dame Catholic    18- 4      14    20           0.00
   513 A Immaculate             15-14       1     0           1.25
   518 A Weston, CT             19-10       9    11          -1.00
   520 H Newtown                 8-17      -9    -8          -0.90
   528 H Immaculate             12-14      -2     1    -     -3.89
   606 A New Canaan              4-16     -12   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Amity                  17-16       1    12    ---   -9.00
   428 H Ridgefield             10-16      -6     4    ---  -10.70
   430 H New Fairfield           8- 7       1     5    --    -4.42
   509 H Bethel                 16-11       5    11    --    -5.00
   408 H Branford                8- 7       1     3    -     -2.52
   413 H Pomperaug              13-10       3     5    -     -2.14
   528 H Immaculate             12-14      -2     1    -     -3.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Masuk                  20-10      10     6    +      3.14
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.00 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.56 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.7
/