Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Chiefs               Coach  =   Mark Dubel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.8937988    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (14- 4, 94.0)     6- 7   
 408 A Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.6)     2-10   
 421 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 1- 5, 75.9)    15- 2   
 423 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 3- 8, 82.6)    15-10   
 424 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-10, 76.7)    17- 5   
 427 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (11- 6, 93.4)     6- 9   
 428 A Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 83.2)     5- 8   
 430 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (11- 6, 93.4)     6-11   
 502 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (10- 8, 92.6)     4- 8   
 504 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 89.9)     6- 8   
 506 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 3- 8, 82.6)    12- 6   
 508 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-13, 86.7)     9-11   
 509 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 8, 89.9)     3- 7   
 512 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-10, 76.7)    16- 7   
 514 H Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 83.2)     7- 5   
 519 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (14- 4, 94.0)     4- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H East Aurora             6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.67
   408 A Amherst                 2-10      -8   -13    +      2.00
   421 H Grand Island           15- 2      13    12           0.00
   423 A Williamsville East     15-10       5     3           1.77
   424 H Sweet Home             17- 5      12    11           0.00
   427 H Hamburg                 6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.16
   428 A Lake Shore              5- 8      -3     2    --    -5.59
   430 A Hamburg                 6-11      -5    -7    +      2.61
   502 H Frontier                4- 8      -4    -4           0.26
   504 H West Seneca East        6- 8      -2    -1          -0.43
   506 H Williamsville East     12- 6       6     5           0.31
   508 A West Seneca West        9-11      -2     0          -1.16
   509 A West Seneca East        3- 7      -4    -4           0.03
   512 A Sweet Home             16- 7       9     9          -0.17
   514 H Lake Shore              7- 5       2     5    -     -3.05
   519 A East Aurora             4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.12

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Lake Shore              5- 8      -3     2    --    -5.59
   514 H Lake Shore              7- 5       2     5    -     -3.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H East Aurora             6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.67
   519 A East Aurora             4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.12
   408 A Amherst                 2-10      -8   -13    +      2.00
   427 H Hamburg                 6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.16
   430 A Hamburg                 6-11      -5    -7    +      2.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.06 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.76 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/