Heritage, VA                  3 - 8


 
                                     Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Pride                Coach  =   Nicole McCarthy       



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   74.7557983    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Patrick Henry-Roanoke  VA    NW AAA  ( 6- 7, 77.0)     1- 0   
 320 A Brentsville District   VA    NW AA   ( 4- 8, 71.6)    17-15   
 323 A Loudoun Valley         VA    NW AAA  (19- 1, 99.2)     4-20   
 330 H Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 5- 8, 74.2)     9-16   
 402 A Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (12- 3, 84.0)     8-21   
 413 A George Mason           VA    NW AA   (10- 5, 80.3)    10-18   
 420 H Park View              VA    NW AA   ( 0-11, 55.2)    20- 4   
 423 H Briar Woods            VA    NW AA   (12- 3, 82.8)     6-20   
 427 H Dominion               VA    NW AA   ( 3- 9, 70.6)     8-10   
 430 A Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (15- 5, 92.2)     2-23   
 512 A Broad Run              VA    NW AA   (15- 5, 92.2)     6-27   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Brentsville District   17-15       2    -3    ++     5.72
   323 A Loudoun Valley          4-20     -16   -31           0.00
   330 H Potomac Falls           9-16      -7    -3    -     -3.17
   402 A Loudoun County          8-21     -13   -16           0.00
   413 A George Mason           10-18      -8   -12    +      2.00
   420 H Park View              20- 4      16    15           0.00
   423 H Briar Woods             6-20     -14   -12           0.00
   427 H Dominion                8-10      -2     0          -1.73
   430 A Broad Run               2-23     -21   -24           0.00
   512 A Broad Run               6-27     -21   -24           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Potomac Falls           9-16      -7    -3    -     -3.17


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Brentsville District   17-15       2    -3    ++     5.72
   413 A George Mason           10-18      -8   -12    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.12 Local Power Rank...........    75
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.42 Local SOS Rank.............    35
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    52
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    50
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    87
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   17.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -19.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -19.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -14.7


  
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