Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Michael Haight        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.6091537    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 H Severn School          MD    IAAM A  ( 7-12, 85.0)     9- 7   
 321 H Upper Arlington        OH    D1 C    (16- 5, 93.0)    14- 4   
 325 H Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    (19- 4, 92.9)    12- 8   
 327 A Paul VI Catholic, VA   DC    WCAC    ( 1-12, 68.1)    23- 1   
 331 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 9- 9, 77.6)    20- 3   
 401 H Cherry Creek           CO    Centen  (16- 3, 97.6)    21- 8   
 403 A Elizabeth Seton        DC    WCAC    ( 6- 8, 77.0)    22- 4   
 404 N Episcopal Academy, PA  PA    IAC     (18- 5, 92.8)    14- 7   
 406 H St. Mary's Ryken       DC    WCAC    ( 1- 8, 67.0)    21- 1   
 408 H Holy Cross, MD         DC    WCAC    ( 9- 6, 81.6)    21-10   
 415 N Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (20- 3, 98.5)     9-10   
 417 A Collegiate School      VA    LIS     (16- 4, 94.9)    16-10   
 418 A Oakton                 VA    Cncrd   ( 4- 9, 85.9)    21- 4   
 424 A St. John's College, DC DC    WCAC    ( 1- 9, 64.5)    22- 1   
 425 A McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (19- 1, 99.9)     6-17   
 428 A Georgetown Visitation  DC    ISL A   ( 8- 7, 84.5)    13- 7   
 430 H Bullis School          DC    ISL A   (19- 5, 90.5)    14- 7   
 504 H Paul VI Catholic, VA   DC    WCAC    ( 1-12, 68.1)    21- 2   
 507 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 9- 9, 77.6)    21- 2   
 512 N Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    (19- 4, 92.9)    12-11 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Severn School           9- 7       2    12          n/a  
   321 H Upper Arlington        14- 4      10     4          n/a  
   325 H Bishop Ireton          12- 8       4     5          -1.13
   327 A Paul VI Catholic, VA   23- 1      22    26           0.00
   331 H Bishop O'Connell       20- 3      17    20           0.00
   401 H Cherry Creek           21- 8      13     0          n/a  
   403 A Elizabeth Seton        22- 4      18    17           0.00
   404 N Episcopal Academy, PA  14- 7       7     3          n/a  
   406 H St. Mary's Ryken       21- 1      20    31           0.00
   408 H Holy Cross, MD         21-10      11    16           0.00
   415 N Canandaigua Academy     9-10      -1    -2          n/a  
   417 A Collegiate School      16-10       6     0          n/a  
   418 A Oakton                 21- 4      17     8          n/a  
   424 A St. John's College, DC 22- 1      21    29           0.00
   425 A McDonogh School         6-17     -11    -4          n/a  
   428 A Georgetown Visitation  13- 7       6     9    -     -3.97
   430 H Bullis School          14- 7       7     7          -0.58
   504 H Paul VI Catholic, VA   21- 2      19    29           0.00
   507 H Bishop O'Connell       21- 2      19    20           0.00
   512 N Bishop Ireton          12-11 2o    1     3    -     -2.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Severn School           9- 7       2    12    ---        
   425 A McDonogh School         6-17     -11    -4    --         
   428 A Georgetown Visitation  13- 7       6     9    -     -3.97
   512 N Bishop Ireton          12-11 2o    1     3    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Cherry Creek           21- 8      13     0    +++        
   417 A Collegiate School      16-10       6     0    +++        
   321 H Upper Arlington        14- 4      10     4    ++         
   404 N Episcopal Academy, PA  14- 7       7     3    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.26 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.70 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   25.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.170.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   16.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   10.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   12.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   13.0
/