Region = CT    Div 2            
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Pat Semancik          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   74.8429337    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Old Lyme               CT    Div 2   (16- 3, 78.3)     9-14   
 414 H St. Bernard, CT        CT    Div 2   (20- 2, 79.0)     7-11   
 423 H Woodstock Academy      CT    Div 2   ( 2-11, 59.3)    15- 3   
 425 A Wheeler, CT            CT    Div 2   ( 1-15, 53.7)    17- 3   
 427 A Norwich Free Acad      CT    Div 1   ( 8- 8, 72.6)     7-10   
 430 H Ledyard                CT    Div 2   ( 6- 9, 64.7)    11- 5   
 502 A Northwest Catholic     CT    Div 2   (10- 6, 76.4)     3- 7   
 504 A West Haven             CT    Div 2   ( 9- 9, 69.7)     7- 5   
 505 H East Lyme              CT    Div 1   (16- 1, 83.7)     4- 8   
 507 A Waterford, CT          CT    Div 2   (12- 6, 73.4)    10-11  o
 512 H North Branford         CT    Div 2   ( 5-11, 66.9)    11- 8   
 514 H Stonington             CT    Div 2   ( 6- 9, 66.8)    10-12   
 519 A Woodstock Academy      CT    Div 2   ( 2-11, 59.3)    10- 6   
 521 H Norwich Free Acad      CT    Div 1   ( 8- 8, 72.6)     6- 4   
 523 A Ledyard                CT    Div 2   ( 6- 9, 64.7)    11- 7   
 526 A East Lyme              CT    Div 1   (16- 1, 83.7)     6-16   
 606 A Haddam-Killingworth    CT    Div 2   (14- 4, 75.1)     4-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Old Lyme                9-14      -5    -6           1.84
   414 H St. Bernard, CT         7-11      -4    -7    +      3.49
   423 H Woodstock Academy      15- 3      12    12           0.00
   425 A Wheeler, CT            17- 3      14    15           0.00
   427 A Norwich Free Acad       7-10      -3    -3           0.23
   430 H Ledyard                11- 5       6     6          -0.80
   502 A Northwest Catholic      3- 7      -4    -7    +      3.06
   504 A West Haven              7- 5       2     0    +      2.31
   505 H East Lyme               4- 8      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   507 A Waterford, CT          10-11  o   -1    -4    +      3.08
   512 H North Branford         11- 8       3     4          -1.57
   514 H Stonington             10-12      -2     4    ---   -6.69
   519 A Woodstock Academy      10- 6       4    10    ---   -6.00
   521 H Norwich Free Acad       6- 4       2    -1    +      3.08
   523 A Ledyard                11- 7       4     4          -0.66
   526 A East Lyme               6-16     -10   -14           0.00
   606 A Haddam-Killingworth     4-10      -6    -5          -0.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Stonington             10-12      -2     4    ---   -6.69
   519 A Woodstock Academy      10- 6       4    10    ---   -6.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H East Lyme               4- 8      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   414 H St. Bernard, CT         7-11      -4    -7    +      3.49
   502 A Northwest Catholic      3- 7      -4    -7    +      3.06
   504 A West Haven              7- 5       2     0    +      2.31
   507 A Waterford, CT          10-11  o   -1    -4    +      3.08
   521 H Norwich Free Acad       6- 4       2    -1    +      3.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.41 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 42.93 Local SOS Rank.............    54
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    52
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/