Conf =  A2                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Hornets              Coach  =   Tom Blackford         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.9910889    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (19- 2, 99.8)     8-13   
 404 A Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 5-11, 73.9)    19- 4   
 407 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (21- 2, 99.9)     7-12   
 423 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   (10- 7, 87.3)    19- 8   
 425 A Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (20- 3, 98.5)     9-15   
 428 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 9-10, 88.2)    16-14  o
 429 H Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 90.1)    13- 8   
 430 A Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-13, 72.8)    21- 7   
 501 A Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 86.6)    14-13   
 502 H Cazenovia              NY C  Sec 3   (15- 6, 90.4)    17-14   
 504 A Skaneateles            NY C  Sec 3   (12-10, 88.1)     8- 9   
 505 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 9-10, 88.2)     7-10   
 509 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (19- 2, 99.8)     7-13   
 512 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 90.1)    14-13   
 514 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (21- 2, 99.9)     4-12   
 515 H Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (16- 3, 99.9)     6-11   
 519 A Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 8-10, 81.6)    21-13   
 528 H Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (10- 8, 90.1)    16-11   
 530 N West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (21- 2, 99.9)     9-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Baldwinsville           8-13      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   404 A Rome Free Academy      19- 4      15    15           0.00
   407 A West Genesee            7-12      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   423 H Auburn                 19- 8      11     3    +++    6.19
   425 A Canandaigua Academy     9-15      -6    -9          n/a  
   428 A Liverpool              16-14  o    2     1           0.69
   429 H Cicero-North Syracuse  13- 8       5     0    ++     4.01
   430 A Central Square         21- 7      14    16           0.00
   501 A Oswego                 14-13       1     2          -1.82
   502 H Cazenovia              17-14       3     0    +      2.31
   504 A Skaneateles             8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.40
   505 H Liverpool               7-10      -3     2    --    -5.90
   509 H Baldwinsville           7-13      -6    -8    +      2.74
   512 A Cicero-North Syracuse  14-13       1     0           1.61
   514 H West Genesee            4-12      -8    -8           0.83
   515 H Brighton, NY            6-11      -5    -8          n/a  
   519 A Corcoran-Fowler        21-13       8     7           0.09
   528 H Cicero-North Syracuse  16-11       5     0    ++     4.01
   530 N West Genesee            9-11      -2    -9    +++    7.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Liverpool               7-10      -3     2    --    -5.90
   504 A Skaneateles             8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Auburn                 19- 8      11     3    +++    6.19
   530 N West Genesee            9-11      -2    -9    +++    7.63
   401 A Baldwinsville           8-13      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   407 A West Genesee            7-12      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   429 H Cicero-North Syracuse  13- 8       5     0    ++     4.01
   528 H Cicero-North Syracuse  16-11       5     0    ++     4.01
   425 A Canandaigua Academy     9-15      -6    -9    +          
   502 H Cazenovia              17-14       3     0    +      2.31
   509 H Baldwinsville           7-13      -6    -8    +      2.74
   515 H Brighton, NY            6-11      -5    -8    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.27 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.74 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/