Region = VA    NW AAA           
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Paul Stuart           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.6601257    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 316 A Park View              VA    NW AA   ( 0-11, 55.2)    30- 5   
 317 N Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   ( 2-10, 67.3)    12-11   
 319 H Briar Woods            VA    NW AA   (12- 3, 82.8)     6-10   
 323 H Liberty-Bealeton, VA   VA    NW AAA  ( 7- 5, 78.3)    12- 5   
 325 A Battlefield            VA    NW AAA  (13- 7, 90.4)     5-18   
 331 A Brentsville District   VA    NW AA   ( 4- 8, 71.6)    11-12   
 413 H Osbourn Park           VA    NW AAA  ( 4- 9, 74.7)    10-15   
 416 A Stonewall Jackson      VA    NW AAA  ( 3-10, 65.1)   
 423 A Liberty-Bealeton, VA   VA    NW AAA  ( 7- 5, 78.3)     9-10   
 427 A Loudoun Valley         VA    NW AAA  (19- 1, 99.2)     1-22   
 430 H Culpeper County        VA    NW AAA  ( 0-10, 56.9)   
 504 N Osbourn HS             VA    NW AAA  ( 7- 8, 76.7)     8- 9   
 507 N Osbourn HS             VA    NW AAA  ( 7- 8, 76.7)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Park View              30- 5      25    17           0.00
   317 N Freedom-South Riding   12-11       1     6    --    -5.75
   319 H Briar Woods             6-10      -4    -7    +      3.58
   323 H Liberty-Bealeton, VA   12- 5       7    -3    +++   10.10
   325 A Battlefield             5-18     -13   -17           0.00
   331 A Brentsville District   11-12      -1     1    -     -2.18
   413 H Osbourn Park           10-15      -5     0    --    -5.53
   423 A Liberty-Bealeton, VA    9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.54
   427 A Loudoun Valley          1-22     -21   -26           0.00
   504 N Osbourn HS              8- 9      -1    -2           1.63
   507 N Osbourn HS              6-10      -4    -2          -1.37

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 N Freedom-South Riding   12-11       1     6    --    -5.75
   413 H Osbourn Park           10-15      -5     0    --    -5.53
   331 A Brentsville District   11-12      -1     1    -     -2.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Liberty-Bealeton, VA   12- 5       7    -3    +++   10.10
   423 A Liberty-Bealeton, VA    9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.54
   319 H Briar Woods             6-10      -4    -7    +      3.58
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.03 Local Power Rank...........    58
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.64 Local SOS Rank.............    52
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    69
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    93
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -21.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -21.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.7
/