Region = MI    DII              
   Nickname = I Falcons              Coach  =   Mike Mehall           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.2186432    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Grosse Pointe North    MI    DI      (12- 4, 86.8)     8- 9   
 328 H Farmington Hills-Mercy MI    DII     ( 7- 6, 88.3)     1- 8   
 328 H North-Harrison         MI    DI      ( 8-10, 77.6)     7- 4   
 328 H Rockford               MI    DI      (21- 4, 95.4)     2-11   
 330 H Livonia-Ladywood, MI   MI    DII     ( 3-11, 74.9)    12-10   
 331 A Rochester United       MI    DI      ( 2- 8, 72.2)    10- 2   
 415 A Lake Orion             MI    DI      ( 6-11, 76.1)    10- 7   
 417 A Bloomfield Hills-Lahse MI    DI      (14- 4, 84.2)    13-13   
 420 A Troy-Athens            MI    DI      ( 7- 8, 82.4)    10-15   
 422 A Tecumseh               MI    DII     (10- 8, 81.3)    13-10   
 427 A Clarkston              MI    DI      ( 0- 9, 66.2)    16- 4   
 504 H Rochester, MI          MI    DII     ( 5- 8, 74.4)    14- 4   
 509 A Cranbrook Kingswood    MI    DII     (22- 1, 94.7)     6-19   
 511 A Troy                   MI    DI      ( 9- 7, 85.0)     8-16   
 515 A North-Harrison         MI    DI      ( 8-10, 77.6)    17-10   
 518 H Birmingham United      MI    DI      (17- 5, 92.5)     5-15   
 527 N Livonia-Ladywood, MI   MI    DII     ( 3-11, 74.9)    15-16 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Grosse Pointe North     8- 9      -1    -6    ++     5.29
   328 H Farmington Hills-Mercy  1- 8      -7    -7           0.35
   328 H North-Harrison          7- 4       3     3          -0.39
   328 H Rockford                2-11      -9   -14           1.00
   330 H Livonia-Ladywood, MI   12-10       2     6    --    -4.07
   331 A Rochester United       10- 2       8     8          -0.29
   415 A Lake Orion             10- 7       3     4          -1.44
   417 A Bloomfield Hills-Lahse 13-13       0    -3    +      3.66
   420 A Troy-Athens            10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.13
   422 A Tecumseh               13-10       3     0    +      3.83
   427 A Clarkston              16- 4      12    14           0.00
   504 H Rochester, MI          14- 4      10     6    +      3.47
   509 A Cranbrook Kingswood     6-19     -13   -14           0.00
   511 A Troy                    8-16      -8    -4    -     -3.49
   515 A North-Harrison         17-10       7     2    ++     4.06
   518 H Birmingham United       5-15     -10   -11           0.00
   527 N Livonia-Ladywood, MI   15-16 2o   -1     5    ---   -6.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   527 N Livonia-Ladywood, MI   15-16 2o   -1     5    ---   -6.85
   330 H Livonia-Ladywood, MI   12-10       2     6    --    -4.07
   420 A Troy-Athens            10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.13
   511 A Troy                    8-16      -8    -4    -     -3.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Grosse Pointe North     8- 9      -1    -6    ++     5.29
   515 A North-Harrison         17-10       7     2    ++     4.06
   417 A Bloomfield Hills-Lahse 13-13       0    -3    +      3.66
   422 A Tecumseh               13-10       3     0    +      3.83
   504 H Rochester, MI          14- 4      10     6    +      3.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.74 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.96 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
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