Fairfax                       2 -10


 
                                     Region = VA    Cncrd            
   Nickname = A Rebels               Coach  =   Stephanie Dagley      



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   77.8779907    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 H Washington-Lee         VA    Natl    ( 5-11, 72.8)    11-16   
 317 A J.E.B. Stuart          VA    Natl    ( 1-10, 63.3)    14- 9   
 320 H Oakton                 VA    Cncrd   ( 4- 9, 85.9)     3-18   
 324 A George C. Marshall     VA    Lbrty   ( 5- 7, 79.2)     5-13   
 330 H West Potomac           VA    Pat     ( 7- 5, 84.2)     5-16   
 402 H Chantilly              VA    Cncrd   (21- 2, 99.9)     5-19   
 416 A Herndon                VA    Cncrd   ( 4- 7, 83.3)     8-19   
 417 A Westfield, VA          VA    Cncrd   ( 8- 6, 91.6)     5-23   
 422 H Thomas Jefferson S&T   VA    Lbrty   ( 3- 9, 79.0)     5-16   
 423 H Centreville            VA    Cncrd   ( 2-10, 73.8)    12-11   
 429 H Robinson Secondary     VA    Cncrd   (17- 4, 98.7)     3-17   
 501 A Westfield, VA          VA    Cncrd   ( 8- 6, 91.6)     4-19   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Washington-Lee         11-16      -5     0    --    -4.58
   317 A J.E.B. Stuart          14- 9       5     6          -1.64
   320 H Oakton                  3-18     -15   -13           0.00
   324 A George C. Marshall      5-13      -8    -9           1.31
   330 H West Potomac            5-16     -11   -11           0.00
   402 H Chantilly               5-19     -14   -27           0.00
   416 A Herndon                 8-19     -11   -13           0.00
   417 A Westfield, VA           5-23     -18   -21           0.00
   422 H Thomas Jefferson S&T    5-16     -11    -6    -     -3.31
   423 H Centreville            12-11       1    -1    +      2.49
   429 H Robinson Secondary      3-17     -14   -26           0.00
   501 A Westfield, VA           4-19     -15   -21           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Washington-Lee         11-16      -5     0    --    -4.58
   422 H Thomas Jefferson S&T    5-16     -11    -6    -     -3.31


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Centreville            12-11       1    -1    +      2.49




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.13 Local Power Rank...........    69
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.77 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.38 Local RPI Rank.............    82
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    96
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.3


  
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