Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Geoff McMurtry        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.5575867    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 7- 9, 85.3)    12- 3   
 403 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 93.7)     6-13   
 409 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 88.8)    11-10   
 413 H Olympia-Arcadia        NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 75.9)    19- 5   
 415 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 74.2)    18- 3   
 417 H Brockport              NY B  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 82.7)    15- 5   
 425 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (18- 3, 99.9)    17-16 2o
 427 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 92.6)    12-11 2o
 429 H Athena-Odyssey         NY A  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 65.8)    21- 5   
 505 H Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 88.8)     8- 9   
 507 A Olympia-Arcadia        NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 75.9)    21- 8   
 509 A Athena-Odyssey         NY A  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 65.8)    21- 1   
 511 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (19- 3, 98.9)     7- 9   
 513 A Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 74.2)    23-13   
 515 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 92.6)    11- 9   
 519 H Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (16- 3, 99.9)    11-12   
 527 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-11, 78.2)    22- 7   
 530 N Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 5, 92.6)    11-10 2o
 603 N Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 93.7)    14-13  o
 606 N Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (18- 3, 99.9)    14-11   
 612 N Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (23- 1, 99.9)     9-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Victor                 12- 3       9     7           1.64
   403 H Penfield                6-13      -7     1    ---   -8.01
   409 N Pittsford              11-10       1     4    -     -3.86
   413 H Olympia-Arcadia        19- 5      14    18           0.00
   415 H Gates-Chili            18- 3      15    20           0.00
   417 H Brockport              15- 5      10    12           0.00
   425 H Lancaster, NY          17-16 2o    1    -5          n/a  
   427 A Rush-Henrietta         12-11 2o    1     0           0.95
   429 H Athena-Odyssey         21- 5      16    28           0.00
   505 H Pittsford               8- 9      -1     5    ---   -6.88
   507 A Olympia-Arcadia        21- 8      13    16           0.00
   509 A Athena-Odyssey         21- 1      20    26           0.00
   511 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.26
   513 A Gates-Chili            23-13      10    18           0.00
   515 H Rush-Henrietta         11- 9       2     2          -0.09
   519 H Brighton, NY           11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.20
   527 H Spencerport            22- 7      15    16           0.00
   530 N Rush-Henrietta         11-10 2o    1     1          -0.07
   603 N Penfield               14-13  o    1     0           1.01
   606 N Lancaster, NY          14-11       3    -6          n/a  
   612 N Guilderland             9-13      -4    -6          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Penfield                6-13      -7     1    ---   -8.01
   505 H Pittsford               8- 9      -1     5    ---   -6.88
   409 N Pittsford              11-10       1     4    -     -3.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Lancaster, NY          17-16 2o    1    -5    +++        
   606 N Lancaster, NY          14-11       3    -6    +++        
   511 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.26
   519 H Brighton, NY           11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.20
   612 N Guilderland             9-13      -4    -6    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.68 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.98 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/