Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Sal Piscitelli        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.4226379    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Deer Park              NY B  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 80.0)    11- 8   
 330 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 76.3)    13-10   
 401 H Bellport               NY B  Sec 11  ( 3-12, 73.8)    16-15   
 402 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.3)    16-21   
 414 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 79.4)    13-11   
 416 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 77.3)    17- 8   
 418 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 72.4)    24-18   
 421 A Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 73.6)    18-12   
 424 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 79.4)    11- 8   
 428 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 91.7)     9-17   
 430 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (10- 7, 84.9)    15-16   
 502 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  (12- 7, 85.2)    13-17   
 506 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-15, 61.3)    16- 1   
 508 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 91.0)    11-22   
 512 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (20- 1, 99.9)     7-22   
 514 H Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 66.1)    17- 8   
 519 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-14, 67.1)    17- 5   
 522 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (14- 5, 87.2)    12-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Deer Park              11- 8       3     1           1.51
   330 H Sachem East            13-10       3     7    --    -4.04
   401 H Bellport               16-15       1     9    ---   -8.52
   402 H West Islip             16-21      -5    -9    ++     4.94
   414 H Half Hollow Hills      13-11       2     3          -1.91
   416 H Middle Country         17- 8       9     6    +      2.94
   418 A Patchogue-Medford      24-18       6     9    -     -3.17
   421 A Walt Whitman, NY       18-12       6     7          -1.90
   424 H Sachem North           11- 8       3     3          -0.91
   428 A Bay Shore               9-17      -8   -10    +      2.00
   430 A North Babylon          15-16      -1    -3    +      2.39
   502 H Lindenhurst            13-17      -4    -1    -     -2.15
   506 A Copiague               16- 1      15    20           0.00
   508 H West Babylon           11-22     -11    -7    -     -2.35
   512 A Northport               7-22     -15   -18           0.00
   514 H Brentwood, NY          17- 8       9    17          -1.00
   519 A Longwood               17- 5      12    14           0.00
   522 A Commack                12-20      -8    -5    -     -2.28

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Bellport               16-15       1     9    ---   -8.52
   330 H Sachem East            13-10       3     7    --    -4.04
   418 A Patchogue-Medford      24-18       6     9    -     -3.17
   502 H Lindenhurst            13-17      -4    -1    -     -2.15
   508 H West Babylon           11-22     -11    -7    -     -2.35
   522 A Commack                12-20      -8    -5    -     -2.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H West Islip             16-21      -5    -9    ++     4.94
   416 H Middle Country         17- 8       9     6    +      2.94
   428 A Bay Shore               9-17      -8   -10    +      2.00
   430 A North Babylon          15-16      -1    -3    +      2.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.42 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.91 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/