Conf =  B1                        Region = NY C  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Bears                Coach  =   Dave Baran            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.9454803    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H LaFayette, NY          NY C  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 77.9)    15- 9   
 401 H Christian Brothers, NY NY C  Sec 3   (10- 7, 86.6)     7-15   
 404 H Cortland               NY C  Sec 3   ( 9- 7, 82.6)   
 407 A East Syracuse-Minoa    NY B  Sec 3   (12- 6, 85.8)     6- 7   
 408 H Whitesboro             NY B  Sec 3   ( 2-16, 63.1)    18- 2   
 421 A Mexico                 NY C  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 76.3)     6-10   
 422 H Marcellus              NY C  Sec 3   (16- 5, 91.2)     3-17   
 423 A Jamesville-DeWitt      NY C  Sec 3   (18- 2, 90.1)     6-19   
 425 A Fulton                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 8-11, 74.8)    12- 8   
 428 H New Hartford           NY C  Sec 3   ( 4-10, 69.6)     9- 2   
 430 H East Syracuse-Minoa    NY B  Sec 3   (12- 6, 85.8)     6-10   
 502 A Tully                  NY C  Sec 3   ( 5- 9, 76.2)     6- 7   
 505 A Whitesboro             NY B  Sec 3   ( 2-16, 63.1)    15- 2   
 507 H Fulton                 NY B  Sec 3   ( 8-11, 74.8)    16- 4   
 512 A Cortland               NY C  Sec 3   ( 9- 7, 82.6)     7-12   
 514 H Mexico                 NY C  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 76.3)     8- 3   
 518 H Jamesville-DeWitt      NY C  Sec 3   (18- 2, 90.1)     6-12   
 527 A Jordan-Elbridge        NY C  Sec 3   (11- 7, 86.8)     5-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H LaFayette, NY          15- 9       6     0    ++     5.01
   401 H Christian Brothers, NY  7-15      -8    -7          -0.30
   407 A East Syracuse-Minoa     6- 7      -1    -8    +++    7.42
   408 H Whitesboro             18- 2      16    15           0.00
   421 A Mexico                  6-10      -4     1    --    -5.05
   422 H Marcellus               3-17     -14   -12           0.00
   423 A Jamesville-DeWitt       6-19     -13   -12           0.00
   425 A Fulton                 12- 8       4     2           1.44
   428 H New Hartford            9- 2       7     9    -     -2.29
   430 H East Syracuse-Minoa     6-10      -4    -6    +      2.83
   502 A Tully                   6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.14
   505 A Whitesboro             15- 2      13    14           0.00
   507 H Fulton                 16- 4      12     4    ++     5.85
   512 A Cortland                7-12      -5    -5           0.21
   514 H Mexico                  8- 3       5     2    +      2.36
   518 H Jamesville-DeWitt       6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   527 A Jordan-Elbridge         5-18     -13    -9          -0.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Mexico                  6-10      -4     1    --    -5.05
   428 H New Hartford            9- 2       7     9    -     -2.29
   502 A Tully                   6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A East Syracuse-Minoa     6- 7      -1    -8    +++    7.42
   330 H LaFayette, NY          15- 9       6     0    ++     5.01
   507 H Fulton                 16- 4      12     4    ++     5.85
   518 H Jamesville-DeWitt       6-12      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   430 H East Syracuse-Minoa     6-10      -4    -6    +      2.83
   514 H Mexico                  8- 3       5     2    +      2.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.14 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.55 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/