Region = MN    MSHSL            
   Nickname = N Cougars              Coach  =   Gary Nelson           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0747070    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Hill-Murray School     MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 5, 82.6)    13- 9   
 414 A Blake School, MN       MN    MSHSL   (17- 2, 94.3)     4-15   
 416 A Mahtomedi              MN    MSHSL   (13- 2, 88.9)    10- 8   
 420 H Maple Grove            MN    MSHSL   ( 8- 6, 77.6)     9- 6   
 423 A Blaine                 MN    MSHSL   ( 3- 9, 68.8)    14- 3   
 427 H Champlin Park          MN    MSHSL   ( 8- 5, 77.4)    16- 3   
 429 H Coon Rapids            MN    MSHSL   ( 3- 8, 71.7)    12- 3   
 502 A Stillwater             MN    MSHSL   (12- 3, 88.3)     8- 9   
 504 H Elk River              MN    Club    ( 1- 8, 68.4)    12- 4   
 506 A Anoka                  MN    MSHSL   ( 5- 6, 73.7)    14- 8   
 511 H Osseo-Park Center      MN    MSHSL   ( 7- 6, 76.7)    13- 6   
 513 A Andover, MN            MN    MSHSL   ( 2- 9, 68.2)    13- 6   
 520 H Anoka                  MN    MSHSL   ( 5- 6, 73.7)    18- 3   
 526 H Stillwater             MN    MSHSL   (12- 3, 88.3)    10- 6   
 528 N Mahtomedi              MN    MSHSL   (13- 2, 88.9)    11-10   
 602 N Blake School, MN       MN    MSHSL   (17- 2, 94.3)     6-15   
 604 N South Washington Count MN    MSHSL   (11- 7, 81.7)     9- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Hill-Murray School     13- 9       4     5          -1.08
   414 A Blake School, MN        4-15     -11    -9          -0.73
   416 A Mahtomedi              10- 8       2    -3    ++     5.90
   420 H Maple Grove             9- 6       3    10    ---   -7.00
   423 A Blaine                 14- 3      11    16           0.00
   427 H Champlin Park          16- 3      13    10           0.00
   429 H Coon Rapids            12- 3       9    15          -1.00
   502 A Stillwater              8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.33
   504 H Elk River              12- 4       8    19    -     -2.00
   506 A Anoka                  14- 8       6    11    --    -4.00
   511 H Osseo-Park Center      13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00
   513 A Andover, MN            13- 6       7    16    -     -3.00
   520 H Anoka                  18- 3      15    13           0.00
   526 H Stillwater             10- 6       4     0    ++     4.69
   528 N Mahtomedi              11-10       1    -2    +      3.58
   602 N Blake School, MN        6-15      -9    -7          -1.04
   604 N South Washington Count  9- 9       0     4    --    -4.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Maple Grove             9- 6       3    10    ---   -7.00
   506 A Anoka                  14- 8       6    11    --    -4.00
   604 N South Washington Count  9- 9       0     4    --    -4.66
   504 H Elk River              12- 4       8    19    -     -2.00
   511 H Osseo-Park Center      13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00
   513 A Andover, MN            13- 6       7    16    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Mahtomedi              10- 8       2    -3    ++     5.90
   526 H Stillwater             10- 6       4     0    ++     4.69
   502 A Stillwater              8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.33
   528 N Mahtomedi              11-10       1    -2    +      3.58
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.33 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.90 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/