Region = NC    SE               
   Nickname = C Hurricanes           Coach  =   Susan Tillier         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.2198029    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 H Laney                  NC    SE      ( 9- 6, 84.9)    11-12 2o
 313 A Ashley                 NC    SE      (12- 4, 88.4)     7- 8   
 316 H New Hanover            NC    SE      ( 4- 9, 73.0)    12- 2   
 319 H Goldsboro                                             
 319 H Wayne Club             NC    SE      ( 1- 7, 65.4)    19- 4   
 321 H Riverside, NC          NC    E Cen   ( 0-14, 66.2)    12- 3   
 328 A Durham Academy         NC    E Cen   (13- 3, 92.5) 10
 328 A Middle Creek           NC    East    ( 2-10, 72.6)   
 330 H New Bern Club          NC    SE      ( 2- 7, 66.6)    20- 1   
 401 A Hoggard                NC    SE      (17- 1, 95.2)     7-14   
 407 H Osbourn HS             VA    NW AAA  ( 7- 8, 76.7)    14- 7   
 409 A Ravenscroft            NC    Indep   ( 2- 5, 74.9)    14- 4   
 415 A Topsail                NC    SE      ( 1-10, 65.8)    21- 1   
 418 H Carrboro               NC    E Cen   ( 6- 8, 80.8)    22-12   
 422 H Hoggard                NC    SE      (17- 1, 95.2)     7-13   
 423 A New Hanover            NC    SE      ( 4- 9, 73.0)    16- 7   
 424 A Greensboro Day School  NC    W Cen   ( 4- 9, 74.8)    16- 4   
 427 H Ashley                 NC    SE      (12- 4, 88.4)    20- 6   
 504 A Chapel Hill            NC    E Cen   (11- 4, 93.4)     7-21   
 515 N Durham Academy         NC    E Cen   (13- 3, 92.5)    10-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Laney                  11-12 2o   -1     2    -     -3.67
   313 A Ashley                  7- 8      -1    -1           0.54
   316 H New Hanover            12- 2      10    14           0.00
   319 H Wayne Club             19- 4      15    22           0.00
   321 H Riverside, NC          12- 3       9    21          -1.00
   330 H New Bern Club          20- 1      19    20           0.00
   401 A Hoggard                 7-14      -7    -8           1.40
   407 H Osbourn HS             14- 7       7    11          n/a  
   409 A Ravenscroft            14- 4      10    11           0.00
   415 A Topsail                21- 1      20    21           0.00
   418 H Carrboro               22-12      10     6    +      3.22
   422 H Hoggard                 7-13      -6    -7           1.67
   423 A New Hanover            16- 7       9    13          -1.00
   424 A Greensboro Day School  16- 4      12    12           0.00
   427 H Ashley                 20- 6      14     0    +++   10.81
   504 A Chapel Hill             7-21     -14    -6    -     -3.38
   515 N Durham Academy         10-18      -8    -5    -     -2.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Laney                  11-12 2o   -1     2    -     -3.67
   407 H Osbourn HS             14- 7       7    11    -          
   504 A Chapel Hill             7-21     -14    -6    -     -3.38
   515 N Durham Academy         10-18      -8    -5    -     -2.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Ashley                 20- 6      14     0    +++   10.81
   418 H Carrboro               22-12      10     6    +      3.22
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.20 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.62 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/