Region = VA    NW AA            
   Nickname = A Spartans             Coach  =   Jen Melhuish          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.9988251    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 A Loudoun Valley         VA    NW AAA  (19- 1, 99.2)     7-11   
 314 H Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (13- 6, 89.5)    13-15  o
 323 A Stone Bridge           VA    Lbrty   ( 8- 5, 89.1)     6-11   
 330 H Loudoun Valley         VA    NW AAA  (19- 1, 99.2)     1-13   
 402 H Freedom-South Riding   VA    NW AA   ( 2-10, 67.3)    17- 0   
 413 H Dominion               VA    NW AA   ( 3- 9, 70.6)    23- 1   
 416 H George Mason           VA    NW AA   (10- 5, 80.3)    20- 2   
 420 A Briar Woods            VA    NW AA   (12- 3, 82.8)    16- 2   
 423 H Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (12- 3, 84.0)    15- 4   
 427 H Park View              VA    NW AA   ( 0-11, 55.2)    22- 0   
 429 A Westfield, VA          VA    Cncrd   ( 8- 6, 91.6)    15-14   
 430 H Heritage, VA           VA    NW AA   ( 3- 8, 69.1)    23- 2   
 504 A Potomac Falls          VA    NW AA   ( 5- 8, 74.2)    22- 4   
 512 H Heritage, VA           VA    NW AA   ( 3- 8, 69.1)    27- 6   
 513 H George Mason           VA    NW AA   (10- 5, 80.3)    17- 7   
 514 N Loudoun County         VA    NW AA   (12- 3, 84.0)    17- 5   
 518 H Charlottesville        VA    NW AA   (10- 5, 82.6)    19- 4   
 520 H Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (13- 6, 89.5)    10- 7   
 530 H Battlefield            VA    NW AAA  (13- 7, 90.4)    16-12   
 602 N Robinson Secondary     VA    Cncrd   (17- 4, 98.7)     5-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Loudoun Valley          7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.16
   314 H Western Albemarle      13-15  o   -2     3    --    -5.99
   323 A Stone Bridge            6-11      -5     1    ---   -6.91
   330 H Loudoun Valley          1-13     -12    -5    --    -4.27
   402 H Freedom-South Riding   17- 0      17    26           0.00
   413 H Dominion               23- 1      22    22           0.00
   416 H George Mason           20- 2      18    13           0.00
   420 A Briar Woods            16- 2      14     8           1.79
   423 H Loudoun County         15- 4      11     9           0.49
   427 H Park View              22- 0      22    38           0.00
   429 A Westfield, VA          15-14       1     0           1.60
   430 H Heritage, VA           23- 2      21    24           0.00
   504 A Potomac Falls          22- 4      18    16           0.00
   512 H Heritage, VA           27- 6      21    24           0.00
   513 H George Mason           17- 7      10    13           0.00
   514 N Loudoun County         17- 5      12     8           1.71
   518 H Charlottesville        19- 4      15    10           0.00
   520 H Western Albemarle      10- 7       3     3          -0.99
   530 H Battlefield            16-12       4     3           0.89
   602 N Robinson Secondary      5-18     -13    -6    -     -3.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Stone Bridge            6-11      -5     1    ---   -6.91
   314 H Western Albemarle      13-15  o   -2     3    --    -5.99
   330 H Loudoun Valley          1-13     -12    -5    --    -4.27
   602 N Robinson Secondary      5-18     -13    -6    -     -3.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Loudoun Valley          7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.25 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.73 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/