Region = PA    PAC              
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   P. Wernersbach        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.5720825    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Downingtown West       PA    CML-N   (12- 5, 85.7)    16-16   
 326 A Perkiomen Valley       PA    PAC     ( 4-11, 70.4)    22-15   
 328 H Archbishop Carroll, PA PA    Cath    (15- 6, 85.4)    15- 8   
 330 A North Penn             PA    Sub C   (20- 3, 91.8)    13-14  o
 401 H Owen J. Roberts        PA    PAC     ( 7- 8, 76.0)    13- 4   
 406 A Spring-Ford            PA    PAC     ( 6-11, 74.4)    19-10   
 408 H Spring-Ford            PA    PAC     ( 6-11, 74.4)    15- 7   
 409 H Methacton              PA    PAC     ( 9- 7, 79.7)    15- 9   
 418 A Methacton              PA    PAC     ( 9- 7, 79.7)    20- 6   
 420 A Owen J. Roberts        PA    PAC     ( 7- 8, 76.0)    17- 3   
 421 A Pottsgrove             PA    PAC     ( 4-11, 70.5)    18- 5   
 423 H Upper Perkiomen        PA    PAC     ( 1-14, 64.8)    20- 4   
 424 A Pottstown              PA    PAC     (12- 6, 78.2)    20- 7   
 427 A Phoenixville           PA    PAC     ( 7-10, 70.7)    22- 6   
 429 H Perkiomen Valley       PA    PAC     ( 4-11, 70.4)    22- 4   
 502 H Downingtown East       PA    CML-N   (12- 8, 88.0)    17-13   
 505 N Pottsgrove             PA    PAC     ( 4-11, 70.5)    18- 5   
 507 N Methacton              PA    PAC     ( 9- 7, 79.7)    19- 5   
 512 H Pennridge              PA    Sub C   (13- 6, 83.7)    13- 5   
 514 H Upper Dublin           PA    Sub A   (16- 3, 86.1)    16-10   
 516 N Radnor                 PA    Centrl  (25- 1, 99.9)    10-19   
 519 N Unionville             PA    CML-A   (21- 4, 91.4)    12-21   
 521 N Abington HS, PA        PA    Sub N   (18- 5, 90.8)    17-15   
 526 N Springfield (DelCo)    PA    Centrl  (22- 3, 93.7)    13-14  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Downingtown West       16-16       0     3    -     -3.91
   326 A Perkiomen Valley       22-15       7    19    -     -3.00
   328 H Archbishop Carroll, PA 15- 8       7     5           1.33
   330 A North Penn             13-14  o   -1    -2           1.24
   401 H Owen J. Roberts        13- 4       9    15          -1.00
   406 A Spring-Ford            19-10       9    15          -1.00
   408 H Spring-Ford            15- 7       8    16    -     -2.00
   409 H Methacton              15- 9       6    11    --    -4.00
   418 A Methacton              20- 6      14     9           0.11
   420 A Owen J. Roberts        17- 3      14    13           0.00
   421 A Pottsgrove             18- 5      13    19           0.00
   423 H Upper Perkiomen        20- 4      16    26           0.00
   424 A Pottstown              20- 7      13    11           0.00
   427 A Phoenixville           22- 6      16    18           0.00
   429 H Perkiomen Valley       22- 4      18    20           0.00
   502 H Downingtown East       17-13       4     3           0.88
   505 N Pottsgrove             18- 5      13    19           0.00
   507 N Methacton              19- 5      14    10           0.00
   512 H Pennridge              13- 5       8     7           0.57
   514 H Upper Dublin           16-10       6     4           1.02
   516 N Radnor                 10-19      -9    -9           0.54
   519 N Unionville             12-21      -9    -1    ---   -7.97
   521 N Abington HS, PA        17-15       2     0    +      2.49
   526 N Springfield (DelCo)    13-14  o   -1    -3    +      2.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 N Unionville             12-21      -9    -1    ---   -7.97
   409 H Methacton              15- 9       6    11    --    -4.00
   324 A Downingtown West       16-16       0     3    -     -3.91
   326 A Perkiomen Valley       22-15       7    19    -     -3.00
   408 H Spring-Ford            15- 7       8    16    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 N Abington HS, PA        17-15       2     0    +      2.49
   526 N Springfield (DelCo)    13-14  o   -1    -3    +      2.35
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.36 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.51 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   16.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    7.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/