Region = OR    South            
   Nickname = R Lava Bears           Coach  =   Hilary Gilmore        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.3781357    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Sheldon                OR    South   (11- 4, 81.4)     8-12   
 404 N West Salem             OR    South   ( 6- 8, 75.6)    14-17  o
 405 A Corvallis              OR    South   ( 2-12, 67.7)    14- 7   
 405 A Crescent Valley        OR    South   ( 6- 8, 75.1)     6-12   
 411 H Roseburg               OR    South   (10- 5, 81.5)    10- 9   
 411 H Roseburg               OR    South   (10- 5, 81.5)     7-13   
 418 A Marist, OR             OR    South   (14- 2, 86.4)     6-11   
 419 A South Eugene           OR    South   ( 1-13, 63.1)    21- 3   
 425 H Sheldon                OR    South   (11- 4, 81.4)     6-11   
 425 H Marist, OR             OR    South   (14- 2, 86.4)     9-13   
 426 H South Eugene           OR    South   ( 1-13, 63.1)    10- 3   
 502 H Crescent Valley        OR    South   ( 6- 8, 75.1)    10- 4   
 503 H Corvallis              OR    South   ( 2-12, 67.7)    18-11   
 503 H West Salem             OR    South   ( 6- 8, 75.6)    10- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Sheldon                 8-12      -4    -4           0.69
   404 N West Salem             14-17  o   -3     1    --    -4.39
   405 A Corvallis              14- 7       7     9    -     -2.02
   405 A Crescent Valley         6-12      -6     1    ---   -7.66
   411 H Roseburg               10- 9       1    -4    ++     5.21
   411 H Roseburg                7-13      -6    -4          -1.79
   418 A Marist, OR              6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.66
   419 A South Eugene           21- 3      18    13           0.00
   425 H Sheldon                 6-11      -5    -4          -0.89
   425 H Marist, OR              9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.09
   426 H South Eugene           10- 3       7    14    -     -3.00
   502 H Crescent Valley        10- 4       6     2    +      3.76
   503 H Corvallis              18-11       7     9    -     -2.59
   503 H West Salem             10- 9       1     1          -0.68

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Crescent Valley         6-12      -6     1    ---   -7.66
   404 N West Salem             14-17  o   -3     1    --    -4.39
   405 A Corvallis              14- 7       7     9    -     -2.02
   426 H South Eugene           10- 3       7    14    -     -3.00
   503 H Corvallis              18-11       7     9    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Roseburg               10- 9       1    -4    ++     5.21
   418 A Marist, OR              6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.66
   425 H Marist, OR              9-13      -4    -9    ++     5.09
   502 H Crescent Valley        10- 4       6     2    +      3.76
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.00 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.00 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/