Region = MD    4A-3A            
   Nickname = D Barons               Coach  =   Jenna Ries            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.9838104    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 A Quince Orchard         MD    4A-3A   (10- 4, 82.4)     6- 9   
 324 H Cheltenham, Eng                                       11-10                                     
 331 H Whitman, MD            MD    4A-3A   ( 3- 7, 67.4)    16- 6   
 402 H Wootton                MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 5, 79.5)    10-15   
 404 H St. John's College, DC DC    WCAC    ( 1- 9, 64.5)    19- 7   
 417 H R. Montgomery          MD    4A-3A   ( 7- 6, 73.4)    15- 9   
 423 A Magruder               MD    4A-3A   ( 0- 8, 59.3)    17- 3   
 424 A Poolesville            MD    2A-1A   (10- 2, 80.0)     9-13   
 425 H Walter Johnson         MD    4A-3A   (11- 4, 82.0)    15-17   
 427 A Churchill              MD    4A-3A   (14- 1, 85.5)    19-22  o
 501 H Paint Branch           MD    4A-3A   ( 6- 4, 68.7)    26- 9   
 505 A Rockville              MD    2A-1A   ( 1- 4, 62.7)   
 509 A Sherwood, MD           MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 5, 80.4)    15-12   
 511 A Churchill              MD    4A-3A   (14- 1, 85.5)    12-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Quince Orchard          6- 9      -3    -4           1.31
   331 H Whitman, MD            16- 6      10    12           0.00
   402 H Wootton                10-15      -5     0    --    -4.91
   404 H St. John's College, DC 19- 7      12    15          n/a  
   417 H R. Montgomery          15- 9       6     6          -0.09
   423 A Magruder               17- 3      14    18           0.00
   424 A Poolesville             9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.15
   425 H Walter Johnson         15-17      -2    -2           0.59
   427 A Churchill              19-22  o   -3    -7    ++     4.38
   501 H Paint Branch           26- 9      17    10           0.00
   509 A Sherwood, MD           15-12       3    -2    ++     5.26
   511 A Churchill              12-15      -3    -7    ++     4.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Wootton                10-15      -5     0    --    -4.91
   424 A Poolesville             9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Churchill              19-22  o   -3    -7    ++     4.38
   509 A Sherwood, MD           15-12       3    -2    ++     5.26
   511 A Churchill              12-15      -3    -7    ++     4.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.79 Local Power Rank...........    49
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.04 Local SOS Rank.............    79
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    84
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/