Region = MN    MSHSL            
   Nickname = N Falcons              Coach  =   Bill Moir             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.7884750    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Chaska                 MN    MSHSL   ( 9- 7, 82.6)     6- 5  o
 411 H Wayzata                MN    MSHSL   (12- 3, 88.0)     6-11   
 416 A Hopkins, MN            MN    MSHSL   ( 3-12, 75.4)     7- 1   
 420 A Minnetonka             MN    MSHSL   ( 6- 9, 79.1)    10- 2   
 425 A Bloomington Kennedy    MN    MSHSL   (11- 5, 84.2)    11- 5   
 427 A Edina                  MN    MSHSL   (10- 6, 84.6)     9- 4   
 428 A Blake School, MN       MN    MSHSL   (17- 2, 94.3)     0-11   
 430 A Wayzata                MN    MSHSL   (12- 3, 88.0)    10-12   
 502 H Mahtomedi              MN    MSHSL   (13- 2, 88.9)     5-10   
 505 H Hopkins, MN            MN    MSHSL   ( 3-12, 75.4)    13- 3   
 507 H Edina                  MN    MSHSL   (10- 6, 84.6)     5-13   
 513 H Minnetonka             MN    MSHSL   ( 6- 9, 79.1)    11- 4   
 515 A Robbinsdale Cooper     MN    MSHSL   ( 6- 8, 76.5)    12- 4   
 519 H St. Cloud Tech-Apollo  MN    MSHSL   ( 1-10, 68.5)    17- 1   
 521 H Champlin Park          MN    MSHSL   ( 8- 5, 77.4)    11- 8   
 526 N Wayzata                MN    MSHSL   (12- 3, 88.0)    10- 9   
 528 H Eden Prairie           MN    MSHSL   (17- 1, 99.9)     5-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Chaska                  6- 5  o    1     1          -0.64
   411 H Wayzata                 6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.89
   416 A Hopkins, MN             7- 1       6     8    -     -2.83
   420 A Minnetonka             10- 2       8     5    +      2.85
   425 A Bloomington Kennedy    11- 5       6     0    ++     5.98
   427 A Edina                   9- 4       5     0    ++     5.41
   428 A Blake School, MN        0-11     -11   -10           0.00
   430 A Wayzata                10-12      -2    -3           1.74
   502 H Mahtomedi               5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.95
   505 H Hopkins, MN            13- 3      10    11           0.00
   507 H Edina                   5-13      -8     2    ---  -10.23
   513 H Minnetonka             11- 4       7     7          -0.79
   515 A Robbinsdale Cooper     12- 4       8     7           0.26
   519 H St. Cloud Tech-Apollo  17- 1      16    18           0.00
   521 H Champlin Park          11- 8       3     9    ---   -6.43
   526 N Wayzata                10- 9       1    -2    +      3.42
   528 H Eden Prairie            5-16     -11   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Edina                   5-13      -8     2    ---  -10.23
   521 H Champlin Park          11- 8       3     9    ---   -6.43
   411 H Wayzata                 6-11      -5    -1    -     -3.89
   416 A Hopkins, MN             7- 1       6     8    -     -2.83
   502 H Mahtomedi               5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Bloomington Kennedy    11- 5       6     0    ++     5.98
   427 A Edina                   9- 4       5     0    ++     5.41
   420 A Minnetonka             10- 2       8     5    +      2.85
   526 N Wayzata                10- 9       1    -2    +      3.42
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.54 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.11 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    42
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/