Region = VA    NW AAA           
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Laurie Pratt          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.9377365    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 H Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   ( 9- 4, 84.2)    16- 7   
 319 H St. Timothy's          MD    IAAM C  (14- 5, 97.4)    16- 7   
 324 A Collegiate School      VA    LIS     (16- 4, 94.9)     6-14   
 331 A Rockbridge County      VA    NW AA   ( 7- 7, 79.5)    14- 5   
 414 A Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (13- 6, 89.5)    12-13 2o
 416 H St. Anne's-Belfield    VA    LIS     (16- 5, 92.2)    12-11   
 418 A St. Catherine's School VA    LIS     ( 7- 9, 82.5)    18-11   
 421 H Collegiate School      VA    LIS     (16- 4, 94.9)    11-12   
 423 H Eastern View           VA    Indep   ( 4- 7, 74.5)    13- 2   
 428 A Westfield, VA          VA    Cncrd   ( 8- 6, 91.6)    11-15   
 430 A Monticello, VA         VA    NW AA   ( 9- 4, 84.2)    14- 2   
 507 N Western Albemarle      VA    NW AA   (13- 6, 89.5)    13- 7   
 511 H Patrick Henry-Roanoke  VA    NW AAA  ( 6- 7, 77.0)    16- 7   
 520 H Woodbridge, VA         VA    NW AAA  ( 6- 7, 72.6)    15- 3   
 522 A Loudoun Valley         VA    NW AAA  (19- 1, 99.2)     5- 9   
 527 H Forest Park            VA    NW AAA  (10- 2, 80.9)    20- 1   
 530 A Robinson Secondary     VA    Cncrd   (17- 4, 98.7)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Monticello, VA         16- 7       9     9          -0.10
   319 H St. Timothy's          16- 7       9    -4          n/a  
   324 A Collegiate School       6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.88
   331 A Rockbridge County      14- 5       9    11          -1.00
   414 A Western Albemarle      12-13 2o   -1     1    -     -2.35
   416 H St. Anne's-Belfield    12-11       1     1          -0.06
   418 A St. Catherine's School 18-11       7     8          -1.32
   421 H Collegiate School      11-12      -1    -1           0.68
   423 H Eastern View           13- 2      11    18           0.00
   428 A Westfield, VA          11-15      -4     0    -     -3.20
   430 A Monticello, VA         14- 2      12     6    +      3.33
   507 N Western Albemarle      13- 7       6     2    +      3.43
   511 H Patrick Henry-Roanoke  16- 7       9    16          -1.00
   520 H Woodbridge, VA         15- 3      12    20           0.00
   522 A Loudoun Valley          5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.37
   527 H Forest Park            20- 1      19    12           0.00
   530 A Robinson Secondary      5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Collegiate School       6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.88
   414 A Western Albemarle      12-13 2o   -1     1    -     -2.35
   428 A Westfield, VA          11-15      -4     0    -     -3.20
   530 A Robinson Secondary      5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H St. Timothy's          16- 7       9    -4    +++        
   522 A Loudoun Valley          5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.37
   430 A Monticello, VA         14- 2      12     6    +      3.33
   507 N Western Albemarle      13- 7       6     2    +      3.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.05 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.30 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/