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Region = VA NW AAA Nickname = A Patriots Coach = Laurie PrattGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.9377365 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 312 H Monticello, VA VA NW AA ( 9- 4, 84.2) 16- 7 319 H St. Timothy's MD IAAM C (14- 5, 97.4) 16- 7 324 A Collegiate School VA LIS (16- 4, 94.9) 6-14 331 A Rockbridge County VA NW AA ( 7- 7, 79.5) 14- 5 414 A Western Albemarle VA NW AA (13- 6, 89.5) 12-13 2o 416 H St. Anne's-Belfield VA LIS (16- 5, 92.2) 12-11 418 A St. Catherine's School VA LIS ( 7- 9, 82.5) 18-11 421 H Collegiate School VA LIS (16- 4, 94.9) 11-12 423 H Eastern View VA Indep ( 4- 7, 74.5) 13- 2 428 A Westfield, VA VA Cncrd ( 8- 6, 91.6) 11-15 430 A Monticello, VA VA NW AA ( 9- 4, 84.2) 14- 2 507 N Western Albemarle VA NW AA (13- 6, 89.5) 13- 7 511 H Patrick Henry-Roanoke VA NW AAA ( 6- 7, 77.0) 16- 7 520 H Woodbridge, VA VA NW AAA ( 6- 7, 72.6) 15- 3 522 A Loudoun Valley VA NW AAA (19- 1, 99.2) 5- 9 527 H Forest Park VA NW AAA (10- 2, 80.9) 20- 1 530 A Robinson Secondary VA Cncrd (17- 4, 98.7) 5-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H Monticello, VA 16- 7 9 9 -0.10 319 H St. Timothy's 16- 7 9 -4 n/a 324 A Collegiate School 6-14 -8 -4 - -3.88 331 A Rockbridge County 14- 5 9 11 -1.00 414 A Western Albemarle 12-13 2o -1 1 - -2.35 416 H St. Anne's-Belfield 12-11 1 1 -0.06 418 A St. Catherine's School 18-11 7 8 -1.32 421 H Collegiate School 11-12 -1 -1 0.68 423 H Eastern View 13- 2 11 18 0.00 428 A Westfield, VA 11-15 -4 0 - -3.20 430 A Monticello, VA 14- 2 12 6 + 3.33 507 N Western Albemarle 13- 7 6 2 + 3.43 511 H Patrick Henry-Roanoke 16- 7 9 16 -1.00 520 H Woodbridge, VA 15- 3 12 20 0.00 522 A Loudoun Valley 5- 9 -4 -8 ++ 4.37 527 H Forest Park 20- 1 19 12 0.00 530 A Robinson Secondary 5-15 -10 -7 - -2.17UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Collegiate School 6-14 -8 -4 - -3.88 414 A Western Albemarle 12-13 2o -1 1 - -2.35 428 A Westfield, VA 11-15 -4 0 - -3.20 530 A Robinson Secondary 5-15 -10 -7 - -2.17OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H St. Timothy's 16- 7 9 -4 +++ 522 A Loudoun Valley 5- 9 -4 -8 ++ 4.37 430 A Monticello, VA 14- 2 12 6 + 3.33 507 N Western Albemarle 13- 7 6 2 + 3.43/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.05 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 72.30 Local SOS Rank............. 7 Local RPI Rating......... 0.67 Local RPI Rank............. 4 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 10 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 13 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7