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Region = MA West D1 Nickname = A Brownies Coach = Carla WarnerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.4557800 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 403 A Westfield HS, MA MA West D1 ( 2-11, 72.3) 17- 4 413 H Cathedral, MA MA West D1 ( 2-13, 69.3) 16- 2 414 H Cathedral, MA MA West D1 ( 2-13, 69.3) 416 A Suffield Academy NE (15- 2, 90.6) 8-13 417 H Westfield HS, MA MA West D1 ( 2-11, 72.3) 18- 6 420 A South Hadley MA West D1 (10-10, 81.2) 17-11 422 H West Springfield, MA MA West D1 ( 2-12, 70.9) 13- 3 423 A Longmeadow MA West D1 (21- 2, 99.9) 6-17 424 N Berkshire School NE ( 5-13, 78.2) 15-14 428 A Northampton MA West D1 ( 8- 7, 81.7) 17-12 430 H Minnechaug MA West D1 (18- 3, 91.8) 12-17 505 A Amherst-Pelham MA West D1 ( 7-10, 77.6) 17- 9 508 A East Longmeadow MA West D1 ( 9- 8, 81.6) 14-10 511 A West Springfield, MA MA West D1 ( 2-12, 70.9) 15- 4 513 A Minnechaug MA West D1 (18- 3, 91.8) 8-16 515 H Amherst-Pelham MA West D1 ( 7-10, 77.6) 16- 6 518 H East Longmeadow MA West D1 ( 9- 8, 81.6) 18- 9 520 H South Hadley MA West D1 (10-10, 81.2) 13-12 522 H Northampton MA West D1 ( 8- 7, 81.7) 17- 7 526 H Longmeadow MA West D1 (21- 2, 99.9) 6-18 529 H Northampton MA West D1 ( 8- 7, 81.7) 13-14 2o 602 A Minnechaug MA West D1 (18- 3, 91.8) 5-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Westfield HS, MA 17- 4 13 13 0.00 413 H Cathedral, MA 16- 2 14 18 0.00 416 A Suffield Academy 8-13 -5 -4 n/a 417 H Westfield HS, MA 18- 6 12 15 0.00 420 A South Hadley 17-11 6 4 1.01 422 H West Springfield, MA 13- 3 10 17 0.00 423 A Longmeadow 6-17 -11 -13 0.00 424 N Berkshire School 15-14 1 8 n/a 428 A Northampton 17-12 5 4 0.56 430 H Minnechaug 12-17 -5 -3 -1.16 505 A Amherst-Pelham 17- 9 8 8 -0.58 508 A East Longmeadow 14-10 4 4 -0.55 511 A West Springfield, MA 15- 4 11 15 0.00 513 A Minnechaug 8-16 -8 -5 - -2.37 515 H Amherst-Pelham 16- 6 10 10 0.00 518 H East Longmeadow 18- 9 9 6 + 2.65 520 H South Hadley 13-12 1 6 -- -5.79 522 H Northampton 17- 7 10 6 + 3.76 526 H Longmeadow 6-18 -12 -11 0.00 529 H Northampton 13-14 2o -1 6 --- -7.24 602 A Minnechaug 5-10 -5 -5 0.63UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 N Berkshire School 15-14 1 8 --- 529 H Northampton 13-14 2o -1 6 --- -7.24 520 H South Hadley 13-12 1 6 -- -5.79 513 A Minnechaug 8-16 -8 -5 - -2.37OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 518 H East Longmeadow 18- 9 9 6 + 2.65 522 H Northampton 17- 7 10 6 + 3.76/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.07 Local Power Rank........... 26 Local SOS Rating......... 62.57 Local SOS Rank............. 28 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 32 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 13 Local Quality Win Rating. 0.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 27 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -11.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.2 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.0