Region = MA    West D1          
   Nickname = A Brownies             Coach  =   Carla Warner          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.4557800    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 2-11, 72.3)    17- 4   
 413 H Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 2-13, 69.3)    16- 2   
 414 H Cathedral, MA          MA    West D1 ( 2-13, 69.3)   
 416 A Suffield Academy       NE            (15- 2, 90.6)     8-13   
 417 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    West D1 ( 2-11, 72.3)    18- 6   
 420 A South Hadley           MA    West D1 (10-10, 81.2)    17-11   
 422 H West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 2-12, 70.9)    13- 3   
 423 A Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (21- 2, 99.9)     6-17   
 424 N Berkshire School       NE            ( 5-13, 78.2)    15-14   
 428 A Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 8- 7, 81.7)    17-12   
 430 H Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (18- 3, 91.8)    12-17   
 505 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 7-10, 77.6)    17- 9   
 508 A East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 9- 8, 81.6)    14-10   
 511 A West Springfield, MA   MA    West D1 ( 2-12, 70.9)    15- 4   
 513 A Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (18- 3, 91.8)     8-16   
 515 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    West D1 ( 7-10, 77.6)    16- 6   
 518 H East Longmeadow        MA    West D1 ( 9- 8, 81.6)    18- 9   
 520 H South Hadley           MA    West D1 (10-10, 81.2)    13-12   
 522 H Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 8- 7, 81.7)    17- 7   
 526 H Longmeadow             MA    West D1 (21- 2, 99.9)     6-18   
 529 H Northampton            MA    West D1 ( 8- 7, 81.7)    13-14 2o
 602 A Minnechaug             MA    West D1 (18- 3, 91.8)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Westfield HS, MA       17- 4      13    13           0.00
   413 H Cathedral, MA          16- 2      14    18           0.00
   416 A Suffield Academy        8-13      -5    -4          n/a  
   417 H Westfield HS, MA       18- 6      12    15           0.00
   420 A South Hadley           17-11       6     4           1.01
   422 H West Springfield, MA   13- 3      10    17           0.00
   423 A Longmeadow              6-17     -11   -13           0.00
   424 N Berkshire School       15-14       1     8          n/a  
   428 A Northampton            17-12       5     4           0.56
   430 H Minnechaug             12-17      -5    -3          -1.16
   505 A Amherst-Pelham         17- 9       8     8          -0.58
   508 A East Longmeadow        14-10       4     4          -0.55
   511 A West Springfield, MA   15- 4      11    15           0.00
   513 A Minnechaug              8-16      -8    -5    -     -2.37
   515 H Amherst-Pelham         16- 6      10    10           0.00
   518 H East Longmeadow        18- 9       9     6    +      2.65
   520 H South Hadley           13-12       1     6    --    -5.79
   522 H Northampton            17- 7      10     6    +      3.76
   526 H Longmeadow              6-18     -12   -11           0.00
   529 H Northampton            13-14 2o   -1     6    ---   -7.24
   602 A Minnechaug              5-10      -5    -5           0.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 N Berkshire School       15-14       1     8    ---        
   529 H Northampton            13-14 2o   -1     6    ---   -7.24
   520 H South Hadley           13-12       1     6    --    -5.79
   513 A Minnechaug              8-16      -8    -5    -     -2.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H East Longmeadow        18- 9       9     6    +      2.65
   522 H Northampton            17- 7      10     6    +      3.76
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.07 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.57 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/